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FanDuel MLB Picks – August 10th

We had a few solid FanDuel MLB picks on Wednesday, as Gary Sanchez went yard and we got strong contributions out of Max Kepler and Brian Goodwin. We used several Astros and they flat-lined in the face of Miguel Gonzalez, of all people, while Collin McHugh was the wrong arm to trust on a night where not many were even remotely viable.

In the end, you needed the Yanks and Nats stacked correctly to take down a GPP, but such a low-scoring night still could have had you cash if you made the right moves. That wasn’t the case with last night’s daily fantasy baseball lineup, but here’s to bigger and better things on Thursday’s main slate:

SP: James Paxton – Seattle Mariners ($9.9k)

There are a lot of viable pitching options tonight, starting up top with Jacob deGrom. I love deGrom and I can’t fault you for looking at Yu Darvish, Danny Salazar or Sonny Gray, either. I even like intermediate plays like Brad Peacock and Lance Lynn. The point is there are plenty of outs, but for the most part we probably want to pay up on the bump tonight.

My favorite play is Paxton, for a few reasons. For one, the Angels are pretty soft outside of Mike Trout and they’ll be operating in a park that is usually kind to pitchers. They don’t strikeout at the rate we prefer, but Paxton is an elite K guy and he boasts a nasty 2.15 home ERA. I don’t think he gets 10+ Ks tonight, but 7-8 with a quality start and a win seem to be in line. Safety is the key here, as Paxton offers upside but really thrives at home and his recent form (3 total runs allowed over his last four starts) makes me feel more comfortable than any other spot.

C: Gary Sanchez – New York Yankees ($3.2k)

Sanchez worked out for us last night and his price actually dropped, so I have no issues going back to the well at catcher. The position as a whole looks like garbage again tonight, so it may take the perfect punt play to get me off of Gary. Sanchez offers a .225 ISO against righties, while Marco Estrada offers up a 46% fly ball rate and a .211 ISO to righties, as well. It doesn’t hurt that all four of Gary’s hits against Estrada have gone into the stands.

1B: Jesus Aguilar – Milwaukee Brewers ($2.1k)

This is just way too much of a bargain to at least not highlight, while Aguilar could also end up being a core play. Not only do his Brewers take on a young pitcher in Dietrich Enns, but Aguilar is one of the few Brewers who rakes against southpaws (.217 ISO, .380 wOBA). That should make Eric Thames a healthy scratch and put our boy Jesus high in the order.

I can see you looking at all the pricey 1B options and scoffing at this dive. Obviously this position is insanely loaded and we can consider spending here. The options are aplenty, but one of the top guys is going to be Cody Bellinger at Chase Field. Chris Davis ($3.4k) is also very appealing against Chris Smith tonight.

2B: Neil Walker – New York Mets ($2.6k)

The Mets just traded Jay Bruce to the Indians, so New York is going to have to get their power from somewhere. Walker has admittedly not been great in 2017, but he still owns fun splits (.203 ISO, .340 wOBA) against right-handed pitching. Tonight he’s in a fun ballpark against Vincent Velasquez, who can serve up loads of hard contact and has seen his K rate dip this year. Walker isn’t a sure thing, but Citizens Bank Park begs for home runs and he’s a cheap power bat.

I can certainly understand the interest in paying up at 2B tonight. It did not at all work out for us via Jose Altuve last night, but maybe it will this time around. Altuve is always in play, but we can also give Jonathan Schoop ($3.9k) a look. He’s a little cheaper than Jose and carries sweet splits into a showdown in Oakland that boasts a nice 9.5 Total.

3B: Mike Moustakas – Kansas City Royals ($4k)

I hate Moose’s price, but he’s donged Lance Lynn twice in his career and the St. Louis ace always has a tough time (.218 ISO, .338 wOBA) against left-handed bats. The pitching splits and history work for me here, but the dagger is Moose’s killer splits (.298 ISO, .370 wOBA) against righties. The ball has been flying at Busch Stadium, too, so I don’t see why we should run from where the numbers are pointing.

While I love the idea of getting an expensive Moose at low ownership, 3B is loaded, per usual. Travis Shaw is being offered at a discounted rate, so he could be a fine try if he returns to the team (personal) tonight.

SS: Corey Seager – Los Angeles Dodgers ($3.9k)

I have no qualms picking on Anthony Banda. He’s a young pitcher in Chase Field and this is Corey Seager and the Dodgers we’re talking about. Seager is always in play, but his nasty splits (.266 ISO, .438 wOBA) against southpaws is calling my name.

We can find some value at SS if we need it. Marwin Gonzalez is again in play and $300 cheaper, while Marcus Semien and Didi Gregorius are both fine tries and come in at a cool $3.1k.

OF: Dexter Fowler – St. Louis Cardinals ($2.8k)

The Cards are on fire (5 straight wins) right now, so let’s ride the wave with a cheap bat in Fowler. Dexter can slam a deep ball but he also can just flat out hit. We’ve seen that with him topping 18+ fantasy points in each of the last three games despite hitting zero home runs. I like him again tonight, as he’s a great price and faces a beatable righty in Jason Hammel. Not only has Fowler donged Hammel in the past, but his killer splits (.236 ISO, .356 wOBA) against right-handed pitchers put him over the top for me.

OF: Enrique Hernandez – Los Angeles Dodgers ($2k)

We can’t be sure just yet if Hernandez will hit the field tonight, but considering the Dodgers take on a young southpaw in Anthony Blanda, I have to think he will. Blanda has some talent, but pitching in Chase Field is tough. Doing it against the Dodgers just isn’t fair. Hernandez is the king of one-off plays anyways, as he offers insane splits against lefties (.364 ISO, .400 wOBA). I’m dong hunting here, but at this price we can afford to aim high.

OF: Ryan Braun – Milwaukee Brewers ($4.2k)

The Braun home run is coming. I promise, it’s still a thing. Braun is actually raking right now, as he got two more knocks last night and has accrued 10 hits in his last four games. The man is ablaze and is only missing the long ball right now. At home against a young pitcher, I think he gets it. His strong splits against lefties (.224 ISO, .366 wOBA) shouldn’t banish him to the bench, so as long as he’s out there I think he pays off again tonight.

Obviously OF is loaded and we can go in a number of directions even in this price range. Michael Conforto offers some nasty lefty power at Citizens Bank Park and Nelson Cruz faces a southpaw at home. I could go back and forth between this trio, but I’m digging Braun on this slate.

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