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FanDuel MLB Picks – August 14th

Well, Friday night was a ton of fun. That was especially the case if you followed along with us and our FanDuel MLB picks. We had a ton of hits across the board, as Rich Hill was a stable pitching option and we got homers out of Alex Avila, Eric Thames, George Springer and Michael Conforto.

That’s four long balls out of our daily fantasy baseball picks. Yeah, we’ll chalk that up as a win. We did get burned by Corey Dickerson doing absolutely nothing, while Travis Shaw and Corey seager rounded out our roster with serviceable efforts. Ultimately, we doubled up in a huge GPP and won our cash games. Hopefully you used some (or all) of these picks and crushed it to close out last week, as well.

We’re hoping for more of the same to start the new week on Monday. Just keep in mind this is a truly horrendous pitching slate. It will be tough to navigate, but you’re in good hands as we take a look at our favorite plays to build a winning MLB DFS lineup at FanDuel:

SP: Jerad Eickhoff – Philadelphia Phillies ($7.4k)

I wasn’t kidding when I said today’s pitching slate is rough. Zack Greinke is the only elite ace on the table and he’s at Chase Field against the Astros. He’s worth a try across the board, but he’s the most expensive option and this game could easily go pretty poorly for him.

Kevin Gausman is at Seattle and Jose Quintana is at home against the Reds. There are risks here, but both guys have interesting arguments supporting them. Quintana is just the second best pitching talent on the board, so he deserves consideration.

Ultimately, I don’t want to pay for pitching on this slate and attacking the strikeout prone Padres is rarely a terrible idea. Jerad Eickhoff is not an elite arm, but he’s typically been at least stable and he has an amazing matchup. San Diego has been a lot better lately than people have given them credit for, but this is a serious (positive) park shift for the Phillies hurler and San Diego still offers up a fun K rate.

If we’re looking for value, K upside and a safe run environment, we get it all with Eickhoff. Sure, he could implode, but nobody on this slate is safe. In summary, I’m probably going Quintana in cash games and Eickhoff is my top GPP arm.

C: Buster Posey – San Francisco Giants ($3.3k)

I don’t love spending on catcher, but Posey really isn’t that bad of a price and he gets a mild park upgrade in Marlins Park. He also faces a shaky lefty in Adam Conley and the veteran backstop mashes lefties to the tune of a nasty .262 ISO with a sick .456 wOBA. Yeah, the guy likes facing southpaws.

Spending on Coors catchers could make sense, but my favorite pivot is Alex Avila, who kills righties and is at home against a weak one. He’s also just $2.3k but he’s pretty volatile and I don’t think we need the savings.

1B: Logan Morrison – Tampa Bay Rays ($2.8k)

The Rays have been awful. It’s true. But they get a nice park upgrade in Toronto tonight and they face a really bad pitcher in Nick Tepesch.

On top of that, Morrison and some of these Rays just pack so much power that eventually we know they’re going to open a can. I think Morrison and co. do that tonight and if we glance quickly at Morrison’s gaudy splits against righties (.280 ISO, .367 wOBA) we just might get chills.

I understand the appeal for Freddie Freeman in Coors and other bats, but they’ll be chalky. Morrison has an awesome matchup, is cheap and could be really low owned. I’m game.

2B: Rougned Odor – Texas Rangers ($2.7k)

Full disclosure: this is a pure GPP play and considering how I bounced around with my roster construction, this is my second-to-last play in this lineup and Odor helps me get Charlie Blackmon.

That aside, this is actually a pretty nice spot for Odor. He’s at home in a park good for power and he has good splits (.241 ISO) against Michael Fulmer. Fulmer is a steady pitcher and he doesn’t give up home runs all that often, but he’s in a brutal spot. Here’s to hoping Odor gets us one.

3B: Jake Lamb – Arizona Diamondbacks ($3.3k)

Something is up with the pricing at FD or they know something we don’t. Lamb is about as “plug and play” as daily fantasy baseball picks get. He’s at home in an awesome park, he gets a fairly beatable arm in Collin McHugh and he crushes right-handed pitchers (.282 ISO, .403 wOBA) in general. He’s too cheap to fade on this slate.

SS: Amed Rosario – New York Mets ($2.4k)

Shortstop is garbage at FanDuel today. I like Marcus Semien ($3.4k) as an intermediate option, but even he feels a bit overpriced. As for the other top options, forget about it. I’d rather punt SS and pay up elsewhere.

Rosario looks like a fine try on paper, as New York’s top prospect continues to see action and could even rise up in the order with Neil Walker and Jay Bruce both traded out of town recently. Rosario has limited action, but his splits (.258 ISO, .330 wOBA) against righties still look good. He’s taking on a beatable arm in Luis Cessa at Yankee Stadium and Cessa is giving up a ridiculous .301 ISO and .427 wOBA to right-handed hitters. Sold!

OF: Giancarlo Stanton – Miami Marlins ($5k)

I have an astonishingly bad record with Stanton. He did double dong for me about a week ago, but he typically saves his bad games for me. You’ve been warned.

While I tend to be on the wrong side of Stanton, that “side” doesn’t seem to exist right now. He’s going yard seemingly daily and he’ll be in his home park tonight against a beatable southpaw in Ty Blach. Blach has served up all 10 of his 2017 home runs to right-handed bats and Stanton owns a ridiculous .360 ISO and .412 wOBA against lefty arms. Yeah, I’m sold.

OF: Corey Dickerson – Tampa Bay Rays ($3k)

When has Dickerson worked for us? Rarely, if ever. He has not enjoyed a great second half to what was initially an amazing 2017 season, but he still packs serious power. He is also pretty cheap and gets a bad pitcher with a park upgrade on the road. We needn’t look much further than the splits here (.227 ISO, .343 wOBA) to get excited.

OF: Charlie Blackmon – Colorado Rockies ($5.1k)

You really don’t need much of a reason to use Blackmon in general, let alone against a righty at Coors Field. Getting some exposure to this park is never a bad idea and we get the best bat on the table in Blackmon, who sports nasty splits (.290 ISO, .420 wOBA) against right-handed hurlers. Julio Teheran is pretty good, but this is a disastrous setting for him. Blackmon has been fine against him in the past (5 for 17, 1 HR), too, so there should be nothing holding us back here.

This is a classic pitcher punt/stack job for a GPP, so please understand there is some risk here and this exact team probably isn’t ideal for cash games. That being said, I love these picks for tonight and hopefully the splits/parks/matchups give way to an awesome night. Be sure to keep tabs on weather and any late scratches and good luck in your MLB DFS contests!

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