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FanDuel MLB Picks – August 3rd

A day after all of the top pitchers bottomed out, we saw some of the more pedestrian arms limit our bats. It was another backwards day of daily fantasy baseball, as potent offenses like the Yankees, Nationals, Dodgers, Astros and Cubs combined for just three total runs.

Yeah, it was bad.

Instead of the best offenses in baseball doing really anything of merit, we witnessed the Marlins and Angels earn 7-0 wins and the New York Mets crush the Rockies at Coors Field. We get the Mets going nuts in the best hitter’s park in baseball, but nothing else made sense here. The runs were just hard to come by no matter where you looked, too, as exactly five teams topped 5 runs on the day.

Despite the madness, we did vouch for Mike Trout (called the home run!) and Jesse Winker, who both went yard. Dallas Keuchel turned up lame with his first loss of the year, but we also propped up Jake Arriet and Luke Weaver, both of which were strong on a pretty bad night for reliable pitching.

These were two really odd MLB DFS slates, back to back, so here’s to hoping things even out a bit on Thursday:

SP: Parker Bridwell – Los Angeles Angels ($7.7k)

The pitching for the main slate again is not great. Corey Kluber ($11.1k) is the top option and he’s at home, but he’s facing a dangerous Yankees lineup. This game will also have to be monitored due to some bad weather. I love Kluber in theory, but he’s expensive and not in a great spot. I’m considering fading, but he still makes a lot of sense for cash games.

Alex Wood ($9.6k) is the next best option and should be in a good spot against the Braves. Atlanta does pack some power, though, and they wrecked Wood not too long ago. I’d be a bit concern by that, while Wood’s recent form (11 runs allowed over his last two starts) isn’t ideal.

Sonny Gray debuts for the Yanks but he’ll be on the road against The Tribe. Again, not ideal. Collin McHugh could be good for the Astros, too, but the Rays have torn down both Mike Fiers and Dallas Keuchel, so color me disinterested. The matchup at a basic level is still rather enticing, of course.

Ultimately, I’m led to Bridwell. He doesn’t have a great K rate and he gives up a lot of fly balls, but he’s in a pitcher’s park against a Phillies team that strikes out a lot. There is some concern given Philly’s power, but in this park we shouldn’t let that scare us away. I’m fine with Bridwell on this slate, especially given the shakiness everywhere else.

C: Salvador Perez – Kansas City Royals ($3.3k)

I’m not going to be able to pass on the upside here with Perez, who gets a very beatable arm in Yovani Gallardo and owns nasty splits (.249 ISO, .362 wOBA) against right-handed hurlers. Perez is one of the most stable catchers you can use, too, so there’s a lot to like about him in this spot.

I also like Welington Castillo ($3.1k), who is a bit cheaper and for his career has wrecked southpaws. Of the two, though, I prefer the reliability Perez has to offer.

1B: Cody Bellinger – Los Angeles Dodgers ($3.9k)

I’m not seeing much of a way around Bellinger right now. He’s back in a nice groove after slamming home runs in each of his last two outings and gets a beatable lefty when he faces Sean Newcomb tonight. Bellinger is delivering nasty splits (.287 ISO, .365 wOBA) against lefties on the year and when he’s hot, you ride that wave.

2B: Scooter Gennett – Cincinnati Reds ($2.9k)

We tried Gennett last night when he had killer splits and that didn’t work out, but I have no issue trying him again tonight. Kuhl is not a scary arm to face and Gennett owns alluring splits (.308 ISO, .430 wOBA) when facing righties. He’s been showing improved power on the year and another dong is right around the corner.

Gennett is a fine play here even in a less than ideal park, but I understand if you want a little more upside. If you can swing it, Jonathan Schoop and his absurd .305 ISO against southpaws is worth chasing down.

3B: Justin Turner – Los Angeles Dodgers ($3.4k)

JT is a pretty easy plug and play option for me. His batting average has dropped a bit but he’s still getting hits and comes at a discount. He packages safety with some upside with his power, plus he has monster splits (.354 ISO, .514 wOBA) when facing left-handed pitchers.

The only other guys I’m really on here are Rafael Devers and Mike Moustakas. Moose has been awful (1-18) and seems to be banged up, so that might be an easy fade. Devers is just mashing and it might be fun to ride the wave. Ultimately, I love the value with JT here.

Joey Votto also owns great splits against righties and gets a beatable arm in Chad Kuhl. Hitting at PNC Park isn’t ideal, but Votto is a fine pivot and might be fairly contrarian given his price and the park.

SS: Corey Seager – Los Angeles Dodgers ($3.6k)

Seager and some of the other Dodgers are slumping right now, but they’re too good to allow that to last for much longer. An explosion is coming and tonight seems like a solid place for it. I don’t mind an expensive 3-man Dodgers stack at all and we can close that up here with Seager, who carries a staggering .287 ISO and .439 wOBA versus lefties into this matchup.

OF: Jesse Winker – Cincinnati Reds ($2.3k)

No, I’m not guaranteeing Winker dongs for a third straight game and I’m not banking on it, either. I am hoping he can get on base and do some damage at a very low price of $2.3k, though. He’s been batting high in the order and showing off some power, so I don’t need much reason to take this dive. It certainly doesn’t hurt that he’s displayed a nasty .250 ISO against right-handed pitchers thus far.

OF: Chris Taylor – Los Angeles Dodgers ($3.8k)

Okay, I lied. I’m going with a full 4-man Dodgers stack tonight. You don’t have to, but I am feeling a big outing coming from this group and this spot makes as good of sense as any. CT has been a monster in 2017 and enters with a staggering .218 ISO and .410 wOBA against southpaws. Sign me up.

OF: Justin Upton – Detroit Tigers ($3.9k)

I like a lot of OF options tonight, as Nelson Cruz and Mookie Betts both call to me at this price range. That could possibly help make Upton a little contrarian, but he’s facing Chris Tillman at Camden Yards, so somehow I doubt it. Not only is Tillman a great arm to tee off on, but Upton owns killer splits (.215 ISO, .353 wOBA) against righites. I like a lot of Tigers tonight, but Upton is my favorite play out of their lineup.

If we don’t want to use Winker again, I don’t mind dropping from one of these guys to Corey Dickerson ($3.5k), who sports a sick .247 ISO against righties. That could give us a shot at someone like Max Kepler ($2.8k), who is in a great park for hitting and brings in a nice .201 ISO against right-handed pitching.

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