FanDuel MLB Picks – July 3rd

After a nice weekend break we’re back to the MLB DFS grind on Monday night, which gives us a nice 8-game main slate. This could be a tricky slate to maneuver, as we do not have an elite arm to rely on. We may still confide in Masahiro Tanaka – the slate’s most expensive arm at $9k – but saving on pitcher to load up on reliable bats could end up being the play.

Regardless of the path you plan on taking, we’ll offer up a strong FanDuel lineup that could potentially hit it big in GPPs. Let’s get to it:

SP: Carlos Rodon – Chicago White Sox ($7.7k)

This pitching slate is garbage. If you want to play it safe or ride the hot hand, you should turn to Mashiro Tanaka or Aaron Nola. Neither is necessarily cheap and both will be going to work in hitter parks today. Both could be perfectly fine and I’m more likely to use them both in cash games, but I still don’t trust them.

I don’t trust Rodon, either, but he only gave up 2 hits against the Yanks in his 2017 debut and he offers serious K upside. He’s also in a pitcher’s park against a very beatable Oakand offense. Rodon’s command is in question right now, but I don’t hate his price given his upside in just his second game back. He’s a calculated risk given his environment and the options available to us on this slate. We could also completely punt with a Coors arm, as Jeff Hoffman and Luis Castillo (both $5.5k) have high K upside. Of course, they’re also in Coors Field against explosive lineups.

C: Mike Zunino – Seattle Mariners ($2.5k)

If you’re not paying down at pitcher – and even if you are – one good way to save some salary is to get a cheap catcher. Zunino is about as all-or-nothing as it gets, but he’s mashed at home all year and gets a beatable arm in Ian Kennedy. Kennedy has never been a stranger to the long ball and has specifically gotten donged by Zunino before. You’re pretty much hoping for a homer here, but Zunino does give us a shot and costs almost nothing.

If we want a little more reliability at catcher we can also consider J.T. Realmuto. Paying up for Salvador Perez or Gary Sanchez isn’t the worst idea, either.

1B: Josh Bell – Pittsburgh Pirates ($3k)

There are a lot of viable options in play at 1B tonight. You can pay all the way up for a very pricey Joey Votto or you can go somewhere in the middle with a nice Coors bat like Mark Reynolds.

If you want to save some cash I have considerable interest in Josh Bell ($3k), who does his best work against righties and gets one in Aaron Nola in a great ballpark. Justin Bour ($3.1k) also can’t go without a long ball for forever.

2B: Rougned Odor – Texas Rangers ($3.1k)

I love the value and upside we get with Odor, especially when you consider a lot of people will be on seemingly superior plays like Robinson Cano or Brian Dozier. Scooter Gennett has also turned into the best hitter in baseball somehow and is in Coors, so he’ll probably quad-dong again.

But really, those guys could certainly all wreck; I just really like Odor tonight. His price is killer, he’s at home, he’s actively crushing right now and he also has an awesome history 6-for-9, 4 RBI) against Ricky Porcello. Odor crushes righties too, but the main stat I like is his recent form, which has seen him hit safely (with 2 HRs) in each of his last five games. I fully expect his hot run to continue at home against Ricky P tonight.

3B: Nolan Arenado – Colorado Rockies ($4.8k)

This is the only other Coors bat I’m going out of my way to prop up tonight. Arenado has been slaying (10 hits over his last 5 outings) and he’s beyond due for a long ball (0 HR in last 12 games). He’s back at home against young pitcher Luis Castillo, who offers a very small sample size but has given up three dongs in just two starts and also is allowing a crazy .435 OBS to right-handed batters. Incidentally, Arenado plays his best ball at home. I’d much rather use him against a lefty when we look at the splits, but everything else points to a big game for him here.

Other options at 3B we should consider are Eugenio Suarez at Coors, Josh Donaldson at Yankee Stadium and Mike Moustakas against an inexperienced righty.

SS: Jean Segura – Seattle Mariners ($3.2k)

I could pay up for Zack Cozart or Trevor Story at Coors, but the pitching in Coors really isn’t bad tonight. Vegas does have that game with an insane 12 Total, though, so we should probably find a few spots there. That’s too obvious, though, so you won’t find us going out of our way to hand you Coors stacks. Instead, I don’t mind chasing the value the every reliable Segura offers.

Segura is just the 6th most expensive SS on the board tonight, yet he offers just as much production because he’s simply a very efficient player. Segura rakes both sides of the plate, performs well at home and gets Ian Kennedy, who is about as mashable as anyone. Segura won’t necessarily dong us tonight, but he can do that and he’s probably good for a couple hits and 1-2 scores. He is fresh off a 4-hit night, so he should also be in a solid groove.

OF: Chris Young – Boston Red Sox ($2.4k)

The Sox as a whole inexplicably do not work out in the face of obvious matchups. They’re also facing Martin Perez, who tries to live off the groundball and seems to simply survive games. Targeting him with a Boston stack could easily work out, but I wouldn’t be shocked if it went limp. That’s why I’m really only on a cheap Boston bat here, especially since Young crushes righties and offers serious upside and power here. He’s dirt cheap, has great splits and is in a great park. He could bomb, but the risk is minimal at this price. For the BvsP lovers out there, he’s also 4 for 9 with a dong against Perez. Young is shaping up as gold from all angles.

OF: Steve Pearce – Toronto Blue Jays ($3k)

Pearce has been the Yankees Killer in 2017, as he’s mashed the Yanks to the tune of 3 homers in 7 tries. Pearce also brings positive splits against right-handed pitching into a showdown with Masahiro Tanaka, who he sports a healthy 5-for-12 with 2 dongs again. This is a great park and matchup across the board for Pearce so it’s a solid spot to target a Jays option. Toronto has been bad and Tanaka could have high ownership, so this is a good way to work against that tonight.

OF: Aaron Judge – New York Yankees ($5.1k)

What’s more fun that using The Judge and watching him “drop the gavel”? Nothing. The answer is nothing. The fun part is it’s possible Judge goes a bit underowned tonight with a game at Coors. Either way, I think he’s the top expensive bat I want to pay up for, as he’s a constant HR threat and specifically plays his best ball in front of his home crowd at Yankee Stadium. He’s taking on a groundball pitcher tonight, but he’s still a strong candidate to go yard, rack up walks and get around for a fun or two.

We can also safely target Coors guys like Charlie Blackmon and Adam Duvall here, while Mookie Betts is another pricey bat I like a lot tonight.

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