Last night is a great example of knowing when to pick your spots and to use outside information in combination with research, data and your own instinct. Our Mariners picks bombed in the face of the beatable Ian Kennedy, but we did get you a stud pitcher pick in Carlos Rodon (10 strikeouts!), while Nolan Arenado, Chris Young and Aaron Judge at least got on the board.
Rougned Odor was our lone true hit among the batters, as he donged against the Red Sox.
It was an up and down night, but if you used Odor and Rodon you were quite pleased and a few of our other bats would have helped you out. It’s back to the grindstone as we hope to help you win big on our nation’s holiday. We are fully aware Coors Field is alive and well, but we have two very different slates tonight and a loaded player pool. Obviously anyone from a game with a 12.5 Total is in play, but to help you find other options, we’ll steer clear of that game tonight.
All Day games are also open, so we’ll create one lineup that includes every game and could be used in an All Day contest, if you so choose. That, or just pick which pieces you want to use from this lineup on either slate. Let’s get to it:
SP: Corey Kluber – Cleveland Indians ($12k)
You’re not getting much of a discount from Clayton Kershaw here, but Kluber has actually been the best MLB DFS arm lately (64+ fantasy points in three straight starts) and will be at home against the lowly Padres. It’s quite unlikely Kluber bombs against San Diego, which both puts him in line for an easy win and an elite overall showing. He’s really in a groove and he has everything going for him, so I don’t see another arm I’d rather get behind.
Kershaw is in play at home, but he’s facing a dangerous Diamondbacks team. I’ll pass on him there, while most of the other top names have tough spots. Jon Lester ($10.3k) should be fine at home versus the Rays, while my two favorite dives are Brad Peacock ($8.4k) against the Braves and Daniel Gossett ($6.8k) against the White Sox. Peacock can rack up K’s rather quickly and Gossett is a talented rookie at home against a weak offense. He could go overlooked with so many stud pitchers on the mound today.
C: Manny Pina – Milwaukee Brewers ($2.6k)
I actually like a lot of catchers today and Detroit’s Alex Avila probably leads the way. He’s just $3k and at home against Matt Cain. Cain is terrible and Avila crushes right-handed pitching, so literally everything points to him being a stellar play. That being said, I want a stud arm and I’d like to load up on some hefty bats, so we need to save in a few spots where it makes sense. Catcher is certainly one of them.
Luckily it’s not like we’re diving here. Pina is at home in a hitter’s park against human gas can, Ubaldo Jimenez. Splits aside, it’s hard to hate Pina. But his splits are favorable (.216 ISO vs. righties) and he’s red hot with 22+ fantasy points in 3 of his last 4 games. I’m game for him or paying up a bit more for Avila. Robinson Chirinos is a third option and he’s a great price, but there is some concern with him facing David Price.
1B: Matt Adams – Atlanta Braves ($3k)
I won’t put up a full Brewers stack, but I love Milwaukee today and Thames should be a huge part of their success. The matchup works for him from every angle, plus he donged yesterday. He’s a streaky hitter, so you need to pounce on him when he’s in a good spot, a solid price and heating up. This looks like a great opportunity for us to do that.
While I like Thames, Matt Adams offers us a little more value and probably just as much upside. Adams is at home against Brad Peacock, who I like but can certainly disappoint. Adams mashes right-handed pitching and has double-dong upside, so we can take the plunge here.
2B: Ian Kinsler – Detroit Tigers ($3.2k)
I’m going to take at least one shot at a Tigers masher today against Matt Cain. Cain is awful, so I’m into a lot of Tigers at home with positive splits. Kinsler is one of them, as he’s been wielding a heavy stick over the past few weeks and has his best splits against right-handed pitchers.
3B: Justin Turner – Los Angeles Dodgers ($3.5k)
There are a lot of options at 3B but I like Turner for both his safety and power. The guy is hitting over .380 on the year and can also take it yard at any time. He’s at home against Patrick Corbin and JT destroys southpaws, so I’m all good with this one.
SS: Stephen Drew – Washington Nationals ($2.3k)
Drew gets the start with Trea Turner (wrist) out, as he has raked versus right-handed pitching and has quietly enjoyed a pretty strong 2017. We can’t rely on power here, but we get big time savings and a cheap Nat at home against the beatable Seth Lugo. I’m game for this dive on an all day slate.
If we want to pay up Jean Segura is a solid price again compared to the rest of the board.
OF: Nick Williams – Philadelphia Phillies ($2.4k)
Whether you want to load up on Coors bats (we specifically love Charlie Blackmon tonight) or not, we’re going to need to take a few dives to fit in an elite arm and also feel good about our hitting. provided he starts again, Williams is in play, as he’s one of the Phillies top young prospects and is slashing .357 out of the gates. We don’t really know what he is yet, but he’s only faced righties to this point and gets one in Jameson Taillon today. Taillon doesn’t offer an easy matchup, but this game is in a hitter’s park and you’re saving here so he’s worth a shot.
OF: Ian Happ – Chicago Cubs ($3.2k)
If we need another cheap bat to switch things up, we can consider Yankees prospect, Clint Frazier. He’s got a fun power/speed combo and is at home today. I’m more enamored with Happ, who double-donged in his last start and is a fun all-or-nothing bat against Chris Archer. Assuming Happ takes the plate from the left side (where Archer struggles the most), I think there’s a decent chance we see him send one deep again.
OF: Matt Joyce – Oakland Athletics ($2.7k)
I don’t love diving at all three OF spots, but this is where you’re going to find most of the value. Besides, it doesn’t really feel like a steep dive with Joyce, who will be at home against one of the most volatile arms in the business in James Shields. Joyce has monster splits against righties and Shields gives up the long ball like crazy. We can fire up Joyce with little hesitation.
Obviously if we have the cash, we’re fitting in a Coors bat in this group, and with Homer Bailey toeing the rubber for the Reds, I’d side with Charlie Blackmon and/or Carlos Gonzalez.