FanDuel MLB Picks – June 30th

We were wise to trust in Clayton Kershaw last night, as the Dodgers ace destroyed the Angels in a killer road start and fueled our FanDuel daily fantasy baseball team to success. For what it’s worth, we could have all saved a ton of cash with out cheap suggestion, as Padres pitcher Dinelson Lamet was a machine with 8 Ks in a shutout win.

Our hitting was also pretty strong, as Yasiel Puig got a homer, Brian Dozier doubled and scored and Adam Duvall doubled twice. Eric Thames ended up getting scratched and we got blanked by some of our other bats. Hopefully you just went with Lamet and loaded up on pricey bats that worked out for you.

It was a hit or miss slate, but we get a wide open 15-game slate to work with on Friday night. Just be sure to keep an eye on weather concerns, because we could be in store for a lot of rain. Let’s dive in:

SP: Alex Wood – Los Angeles Dodgers ($10.5k)

Even against the Phillies, I’m not paying $12.k for Jacob deGrom on a slate with several intriguing options. Alex Wood might be a little overpriced here, but he’s almost $2k cheaper than the top option and that alone might color me sold. He’s also facing the awful Padres at Petco Park, so we’re probably looking at a slew of Ks and possibly 2 or fewer runs allowed. Wood has been on a blistering pace all year and while I’d prefer him to be a bit cheaper, he’s about as safe as it gets tonight.

Ervin Santana on the road is a near-lock these days. The aging veteran certainly gets lucky quite a bit, but he also seems to be pretty dialed in anytime he’s not trying to survive at the hittable Target Field. He should be aided by a positive showdown against the soft Royals at Kauffman Stadium.

C: Alex Avila – Detroit Tigers ($3.1k)

I wonder if anyone realizes I love using Avila against righties yet. I see no reason to stray from this righty masher, as Avila is comfortable at home, wrecks right-handed pitching and isn’t a bad price. Josh Tomlin is known for giving up the long ball in general (15 this year) and has a poor 5.50 ERA on the road, so I’m all systems go on Avila tonight.

If you don’t love Avila, we can roll with Chris Herrman ($2.7k) if he starts. He’ll face the talented Jon Gray, but Herrman mashes righties and will be at home in a hitter’s park against a guy making his first start since April 13th.

1B: Justin Bour – Miami Marlins ($3k)

I don’t mind Eric Thames here tonight as long as he’s active, but I actually like Bour a lot in the same park. He’s an absolute masher and is probably due for a long ball. Miller Park can help him serve one up, plus he owns positive splits against righties and gets a beatable arm in Matt Garza. I’ll probably split ownership on Bour and Thames in this spot, but I’m leaning towards Bour.

2B: Javier Baez – Chicago Cubs ($2.5k)

Baez has some pretty harsh splits on the road this year, but we can’t ignore positive splits against right-handed pitching, a low price tag and a date with a beatable arm at Great American Ballpark. Baez is no sure thing, but he gives us value and upside at a fairly weak position tonight.

If we can afford to pay up, we can also look at fellow Cubs masher Ian Happ ($3.4k) in this same setting.

3B: Eugenio Suarez – Cincinnati Reds ($2.8k)

We can get another cheap bat at Great American Ballpark in Suarez, who offers loads of upside and some nice value. Suarez specifically wrecks lefti-handed pitching and will get a beatable southpaw in Mike Montgomery. Suarez is always a good try versus lefties at home, where he’s knocked in 10 of his 12 homers on the year.

There are admittedly numerous worthy options on such a big slate at 3B, so we can also consider paying up a bit more to land someone like Mike Moustakas ($3.5k), who is at home and wrecks right-handed pitching. He’s not a bad one-off against Ervin Santana, whether you’re using him or not.

SS: Jean Segura – Seattle Mariners ($3.6k)

I don’t see many suitable punt options at SS, so I’m fine with spending here tonight. One of my favorite options is Segura, who will be on the road but gets a beatable arm and crushes right-handed pitching. He’s just a safe play, as he knows how to get on base and is incredibly efficient. Francisco Lindor is a similar price and is a strong try against Anibal Sanchez, as well.

OF: Matt Olson – Oakland Athletics ($2.6k)

Oakland’s top young hitting prospect is still too cheap at FanDuel and he helps ease up our salary a bit. I love his power and he’s at home against a beatable arm in Mike Foltynewicz. Folty can be tough at times, but he has a weak 4.62 road ERA and does give up the long ball (13 HR allowed in 2017). He also gets wrecked (.402 OPS) by left-handed hitters.

OF: Andrew Benintendi – Boston Red Sox ($3.2k)

Beni is always a risk due to his streaky nature, but I love him at this price tonight. Benintendi does see a negative park shift tonight, but he battles Marco Estrada, who has struggled with the long ball (15 HR allowed) this year and has performed his worst at home (4.97 ERA). The price is what draws me in here, but Beni rakes against righties and Estrada has been serving up loads of hard contact. This is more of a GPP play, but one I’m fairly excited about.

OF: Marcell Ozuna – Miami Marlins ($3.6k)

I’d be fine with trying to stack Marlins or at least forcing Giancarlo Stanton in here, but Ozuna is cheaper so he can wrap things up. Much like Bour, Ozuna has great splits versus righties and will be at Miller Park against Matt Garza. Ideally we’re using Miami mashers vs. southpaws, but this is a fine spot and the park is great. Ozuna even gives us a little value and plenty of upside.

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