FanDuel MLB Picks – June 5th

Our DraftKings MLB picks are still churning out with regularity and hopefully producing either some stellar insight or a few options that end up helping you win big money. Looking back at Mike Sigler’s Friday picks, that certainly could have been the case. Michael Fulmer wasn’t perfect on Friday but still notched 5 Ks and a win as your SP2, while Dallas Keuchel was as strong as ever as he improved to 9-0 on the year behind six flawless innings (7 Ks, 0 runs).

On the hitting side, Sigler handed in strong picks via Cameron Rupp (2 hits), Brandon Belt (1 hit, 1 run, 1 walk) and J.D. Martinez (3 hits, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 2 runs). Sigler also correctly backed the Giants in general, who hung an impressive 10 runs on the Phillies.

We hope to continue strong MLB DFS picks into our look at FanDuel, as well. The goal will be a mixed bag, as we will pick and choose guys that feel like locks or options that provide too much value to pass up. Let’s get the ball rolling for a hopefully profitable Monday night of daily fantasy baseball action:

Update: Weather is always something to monitor in MLB DFS and that’s not different on Monday night. The ATL/PHI game is probably the one carrying the most risk, so while we like a few options there, be sure to keep tabs on the possibility of this game being delayed or PPD. 

SP: Junior Guerra – Milwaukee Brewers (8.2k)

If we want to refrain from getting too cute today, Cardinals ace Carlos Martinez ($10k) might be the chalk here and is probably the safest option. He also likely carries the most upside and has been remarkably consistent. That being said, Martinez can implode at times and sports a shaky 4.94 ERA on the road this year. Facing an explosive Reds lineup at the ever hittable Great American Ballpark doesn’t sound too inviting, either.

Needless to say, we could all be looking to save and also find an option with less roadblocks to reliable DFS production with our starting pitcher at FanDuel. That could still be with Martinez on a pretty rough slate for pitching (just 7 games), and I’ll surely have my own shares there in cash games. However, in GPP settings, we will want to switch things up and I think one of the best paths to doing that is Milwaukee’s Junior Guerra.

The sample size isn’t huge, but Guerra has been stout so far in 2017, posting a fine 1.84 ERA across three starts. Guerra goes to work in a hitter’s park, but he’s limited three explosive lineups in short duty and gets to be at home against a San Francisco Giants offense that normally isn’t very scary. More specifically, the Giants rank 29th versus righties in batting average and dead last in the majors in home runs against right-handed pitching.

If you’re looking for a one-off or two here, Brandon Belt slays righties and Buster Posey seems to always be in play. Guerra looks like a stable option at a good price, though, while it can’t hurt his chances that none of the Giants have ever faced him before.

C: Tyler Flowers – Atlanta Braves (2.8k)

Whether you want to fit in Carlos Martinez or pay up for a ton of expensive bats tonight, you’re going to want to pick a few spots to save. Catcher may be one of your best bets, especially if we can gets Dodgers backup catcher Austin Barnes ($2k) again at the minimum. He hasn’t worked out so well, though, so perhaps we should just continue to ride the wave of Tyler Flowers, who continues to absolutely destroy right-handed pitching in 2017.

Flowers is handing out some hefty reverse splits, but we can’t ignore it when it keeps happening. Flowers has chipped in 12+ fantasy points in three of his last five outings at FanDuel and gets a tasty matchup with Phillies pitcher Nick Pivetta tonight. There is some mild cause for pause for options in this game (possible rain delay), but Flowers is otherwise all systems go with a solid price, some power and fantastic splits against a young pitcher who has had major issues with control and the long ball early on in 2017.

Evan Gattis is probably my second favorite catcher and is a stellar option should Flowers have his game PPD. Kansas City’s Salvador Perez is also a masher who gets Mike Fiers at home, so he’s a third option to consider.

1B: Eric Thames – Milwaukee Brewers ($3.1k)

When Marwin Gonzalez is priced at $4.3k, you know its a weird day for daily fantasy baseball. While there are a ton of guys with inflated prices, FD hasn’t caught up elsewhere, with mashers like Eric Thames and Matt Adams (2.8k) still being way under-priced. Adams is probably going to be a bit more chalky than Thames, so we’ll go with the Brewers lefty at First Base. To be clear, I love the value and upside of both hitters, but Thames is in just as good of a spot and has found his power lately.

Thames is always fun to use, especially when he’s sporting that nasty power at the hitter friendly Miller Park. Thames has smashed in 7 of his 15 homers at home this year and he’ll have an awesome chance to add to that number tonight when he gets a long ball machine in Giants pitcher, Jeff Samardzija. Samardzija has picked up his K count lately and could easily find some success against a K-happy Brew Crew, but he also could crumble on the road in a tough park for pitchers. Rich Hill found that out the hard way on Saturday and with a rough 4.87 road ERA and 10 long balls allowed already, I’m not loving The Shark’s chances.

In addition, Thames wrecks right-handed pitching (10 homers, .430 OBP) and Samardzija has his worst issues against lefty bats. I’m fine with Matt Adams in this spot, too, but I will surely have more shares of Thames tonight, especially with the Braves game in question.

2B: Jose Altuve – Houston Astros ($4.3k)

This really isn’t the position to play around with or punt, unless something super obvious opens up later in the day. Altuve is the most expensive 2B available on this short slate, but he should be totally worth it. The Astros stud has delivered 20+ fantasy points in 5 of his last 8 contests and gets a volatile arm in Ian Kennedy. Altuve gets to face a right-handed pitcher than he’s already smacked a homer off of and he also is crushing righties in 2017.

There isn’t much reason to get cute here, other than to try to go contrarian in GPPs and/or save some salary. Ian Happ slugged two home runs last night and could be worth a look if you go that route, but Houston as a whole is scorching hot right now and this is a strong matchup to deploy Altuve in.

3B: Mike Moustakas – Kansas City Royals ($3.1k)

Travis Shaw and Josh Donaldson are the same price tonight, so there’s that. I’m not enamored with the idea with paying up at Third Base tonight, so I’m looking at either going with an intermediate option like Moose or punting with somene like Paul DeJong (provided he starts). Odds are Moose is the winner here, as the lefty destroys right-handed pitching and gets a dream matchup with human gas can, Mike Fiers.

Fiers has actually turned things around over his last few starts, but he’s otherwise been awful this year and could be due to blow up a bit. He’s been getting gashed by the long ball (18 homers allowed) all year long and while KC as a whole doesn’t threaten with a ton of pop, Moustakas sure does. The sample size is very small, but Moose owns a .429 clip versus Fiers and offers the long ball at home. He’s also in quite the groove, with at least one knock in 6 of his last 8 outings.

SS: Carlos Correa – Houston Astros ($4.3k)

If we’re on Altuve we probably should be on Correa, too, as Houston’s stud SS has been even hotter lately with 9+ fantasy points in 10 straight games. Correa is the top option at another fairly weak position. That is, of course, unless we feel super confident in another double-dong outing from Zack Cozart or think Corey Seager’s lifeless bat is worth $3.7k. I don’t believe either at the moment, so at the high end I’m pretty sold on Correa and I don’t mind that he’ll be about as chalky as it gets.

This does allow for Trea Turner to be an interesting pivot play and we could consider going contrarian and punting with someone like Brandon Crawford, but I’d rather try saving cash elsewhere. Correa isn’t cheap, but he’s red hot and gets Ian Kennedy, who is no stranger to giving up home runs.

OF: Odubel Herrera – Philadelphia Phillies ($2.5k)

I could keep it real chill and finish this thing out with George Springer (who is hard not to love tonight), but not everybody is going to have the cash to go there and we’re going to want to get creative in GPPs. Obviously Springer and the top Astros are very much in play and should be chalky, but at OF I think we can take a risk or two.

One of those risks might be Herrera, who is finally in a groove with six hits in his last three games combined. He’s topped 20+ fantasy points in back to back outings, too, and tonight he draws an awesome matchup with regressing veteran pitcher, Bartolo Colon. Colon has been very bad throughout 2017, as he’s either struggling to make batters miss, giving up the long ball or simply allowing way too many people on base.

It hasn’t been good for Colon and while stacking Phillies might not necessarily be the best strategy, locating one or two you feel confident in feels like a solid move. Herrera is one of my favorites, as he boasts plenty of power and is dirt cheap. He also has awesome splits against righties for his career. He’s showing reverse splits in 2017 and does have a poor history against Colon, but BvsP stats aren’t the best way to go and this could be a great contrarian spot to target. Teammate Michael Saunders is also a solid try and is just $200 more at FD.

With the weather issues in ATL/PHI, we will also plug Khris Davis. Jayson Werth is an awesome try to wrap up the night if he’s healthy enough to play. The masher absolutely destroys left-handed pitching.

That does it for Monday’s look at some of our favorite daily fantasy baseball targets. Remember, we’re not necessarily giving you a bunch of picks to cram into one lineup and hope it brings home a GPP win. Our advice will hopefully always be combined with your own research and it is up to you how to mix and match our picks with your own. Hopefully a few of these guys hit and end up helping you win big. If so, feel free to return to the comments section and let us know how you did. Good luck!

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