Our second go around with FanDuel MLB picks hits the ground running on Tuesday night, where we get a fully loaded 15-game daily fantasy baseball slate. It’s quite the pivot from last night’s small 7-game slate and also boasts loads of options, including Max Scherzer leading a pack of elite arms and a game at Coors Field.
Monday was not a worthless debut for our FanDuel MLB DFS picks. We did whiff on Junior Guerra and a few bats, but if you trusted us via picks like Odubel Herrera (40.6 FD points) and Mike Moustakas (15.2) you could have had two strong plays boost your lineup. A few other guys we mentioned like Jose Altuve (9), Matt Adams (6), Brandon Crawford (12.2), Michael Saunders (9.2) and Khris Davis (12.4) all were solid and probably didn’t hurt your fantasy lineup if you used them.
As we noted yesterday, our goal isn’t necessarily to give you an entire team to slide into a GPP and hope it wins. You can do that and we feel strongly about any pick we plug, but we suggest you always combine our insight with your own research.
We’ll call Monday’s FanDuel picks debut a mixed bag, but there was enough success to make us feel good going into a jam-packed Tuesday slate. Let’s dive in and see what some of the best plays are for Tuesday:
Note: The only real game in danger right now is against ATL/PHI. Early indications are the game will be fine but keep an eye on that one. For this reason, we’ll refrain from plugging players from this game.
SP: Chris Archer – Tampa Bay Rays ($10.7k)
There are a lot of arms worth taking a look at tonight. Max Scherzer leads the way, but he’s the most expensive arm and he’s facing a dangerous Dodgers lineup. That’s not necessarily ideal and with so many other options, it might not be a bad idea to look elsewhere.
I always love Robbie Ray, but prefer to target him on the road. Jake Arrieta hasn’t been worth his current price tag ($10.3k) for most of the year and Jacob deGrom got lit up by the Brewers in his last start. Tonight deGrom’s chance for a bounce back game comes on the road against a lethal Rangers team. Yeah, no thanks.
There are other intermediate options like Chase Anderson, Jose Quintana, Marco Estrada, James Paxton and a few others we should at least give a cursory glance, but everything is leading me to Rays ace, Chris Archer. Archer hasn’t hurt me much in 2017, so I think you just need to pick the right spots to use him.
Fading him at the Rangers and Indians in his last two shaky starts was wise, but tonight he’s at home against a White Sox offense that is quite beatable. Archer sports a clean 3.15 ERA at home in a park that is typically favorable for top end pitchers. Archer is also dealing lately with 11+ strikeouts in 4 of his last 6 starts. On Tuesday night he gets a Chicago lineup that ranks 25th in both home runs and batting average against right-handed pitchers.
Archer is my top arm for this slate, but if we want to get cute and take a dive, I’m not totally against Houston’s David Paulino. He poured in 8 Ks in his 2017 debut and will be in a solid park against the Royals tonight.
C: Alex Avila – Detroit Tigers ($3k)
You’ll notice we either want the guy that makes way too much sense, provides way too much value or ideally, gets us both. Avila just might do that at catcher tonight, as he was one of my favorite hitters at the position before I even started looking at salaries, yet seven catchers are priced higher. I love paying down at catcher when it makes sense and tonight gives us one of those obvious cases.
Avila has been mashing all year and recently has two homers in his last two starts. He’ll be at home against the hittable Jesse Chavez and the guy is wrecking at home and crushing right-handed pitching. Chavez can batten down the hatches and pitch some pretty clean ball at times, but he’s given up at least one jack in each of his last 9 starts and sports a poor 5.46 ERA on the road.
Austin Hedges is a fine punt play at $2.5k. The Padres slugger has mashed three home runs in three of his last four starts and while a date with Robbie Ray could easily provide us with a big, fat 0, he’s also in a good spot in a hitter’s park.
1B: Lucas Duda – New York Mets ($2.9k)
I always like to attack value at first base, so when other people pay up for the pricey bats and they fail, I earn a huge edge in GPPs. That doesn’t always works out, but there is a ton of value at the position, so we certainly should consider trying. I don’t hate the idea of going back to the well with Eric Thames again tonight, while Matt Adams is certainly in play if the weather clears up in the Braves/Phillies game.
We can also make a case for some of the pricey bats here, but if we’re using Archer or another expensive arm, we might not have that ability. That’s where someone like Duda comes into play, as he’s probably too cheap right now and packs serious power. He’ll be in Texas in a hitter’s park, while he faces a beatable arm in Dillon Gee in ideal hitting temperatures. The splits do the trick for us here, as well, as Duda is wrecking righties. He’s coming off a 0-4 performance in his last game, but enjoyed a streak of three straight 2-hit games prior to that.
2B: Dixon Machado – Detroit Tigers ($2.3k)
I’m not a big fan of 2B tonight other than the top guys and I don’t love the idea of paying $4.1k for Jason Kipnis just because he’s in a hitter’s park. I don’t mind paying for Jose Altuve or Daniel Murphy again, but this could be a great spot to punt.
There are a few cheap guys we could target like Joe Panik or Rougned Odor, though. Panik has excelled versus righties and specifically plays his best away from AT&T Park, so considering him at Miller Park tonight isn’t a terrible idea. Odor brings serious pop to the table and wrecks right-handed pitching, too, plus he’s actually been on a bit of a tear with at least one hit in 15 of his last 18 games. Facing Jacon deGrom makes him a risky one-off play, but the game is in Texas and he has the splits and power in his favor.
The guy I’m most interested in is probably Detroit’s Dixon Machado. Detroit’s bats in general have been hot and they’ll be at home against the beatable Jesse Chavez. We already touched on why we should want to target Chavez, but Machado has proven to be a steady hitter and has actually demolished righties in 2017. Who knows if that’ll last, but we should jump aboard the Machado train for as long as it does. He probably still needs to be batting high in the order to get the nod from me, though, so make sure he’s batting 5th or higher. If not, consider falling back to Panik or Odor or paying up for Altuve or Murphy.
3B: Mike Moustakas – Kansas City Royals ($3.1k)
I mentioned we could go back to the well with Eric Thames if we wanted, but I’m actually backing Moose once again. Moustakas slays right-handed pitching and will be comfortable yet again at home. He’s also one of the few Royals that provides reliable pop, so he’ll either draw some walks or give us a real shot at getting a HR. We don’t want to target guys just for walk potential, but Moose has been hitting the ball very well (7 hits in his last 5 games) and anytime you can get a reliable option at a good price that offers upside, you need to attack it.
We could also pay up at 3B tonight, as there are no shortage of options. Jake Lamb ($3.9k) remains my favorite high end option, as he’ll be at home in a hitter’s park and destroys right-handed pitching.
SS: Corey Seager – Los Angeles Dodgers ($2.7k)
I’ll admit, I’m not really that enamored with Seager as a high level play today, but the value here is too good to ignore. First, it was really nice to see Seager get back on track (3 hits) last night, and he’ll be at home with a favorably splits matchup against Max Scherzer. This is still not an ideal matchup and Dodger Stadium isn’t necessarily known for giving up loads of jacks. Still, Mad Max is prone to giving up hits (specifically the long ball) and Seager is beyond due to register his 8th HR of the year.
There isn’t much more of an argument to be made for Seager, but he could be a free square given the price tag. I don’t mind bypassing him for an elite SS option, but they’re all pretty expensive and not everyone is in the most ideal setting, whether it by pitching matchup, park factor or splits. Seager is in a fine enough spot by the numbers and at this price he’s worth a roll of the dice.
OF: Andrew Benintendi – Boston Red Sox ($2.8k)
I got burned pretty bad over the weekend, when I had an awesome stack that included Andrew Benintendi, but my team sank due to a contrarian Justin Verlander exiting early with an injury. I still enjoyed being spot on due to Beni’s splits, which led to a double-dong day and 56 fantasy points.
We can’t bank on that again, but Benintendi boasts plenty of power to give us serious upside at a still way too cheap price tag. Beni certainly goes through his ups and downs as a hitter, but he’s hitting in Yankee Stadium tonight and gets a guy in Masahiro Tanaka that continues to give up loads of hard contact. This game has a nice Total (9), too, so even if Beni doesn’t rocket one out of the park, he could rack up points if he can simply get on base a couple of times. He hasn’t wrecked Tanaka in 7 at bats, but he’s in a good spot when it comes to park, splits and pitching matchup. At this price, we can’t ignore the upside.
If you want to pay up, Coors bats are always fun, while Nelson Cruz is at home against a southpaw.
Hopefully some of these picks can mesh with your own to help you win big in FanDuel MLB DFS leagues tonight. Good luck!