After a really disappointing first week of NFL action, we turn back to daily fantasy baseball on Monday. There are still MNF games on their way tonight, but after the snoozer of a week we just saw, we can safely pivot to baseball to start the new week.
Monday gives us an interesting slate, as things cool down considerably with a small 8-game slate. Carlos Carrasco ($10.6k) is going to be far and away the top option on this slate, while Zack Greinke ($9.6k) comes in an arguably distant second. On such a shallow night, for MLB DFS, do we bite up top or punt pitching and hope to stack some angry bats? Let’s dive into Monday’s FanDuel MLB picks to find out:
SP: Carlos Carrasco – Cleveland Indians ($10.6k)
I am admittedly not settled on my top pitcher to get the ball rolling here. Carrasco is obvious, but the Tigers can still carry a heavy stick and Greinke (though he is elite at home) is pitching in a dangerous park against a hot (and deadly) offense. Cole Hamels is just a name at this point, while Kenta Maeda feels a bit overpriced.
I might consider some punts here like Jason Hammel ($6.8k) at home against a watered down White Sox team or Brandon Woodruff ($6.7k), but all roads probably lead back to Carrasco. He has been at his worst at home, but he has absolutely owned the Tigers this year (3-1, 2.14 ERA). Detroit is also extremely battered and as a whole don’t hit righties well.
Carrasco feels pretty safe and probably carries the most upside of anyone on Monday’s daily fantasy baseball slate. He should be high owned, but there aren’t many pivots people should be seriously considering here. With The Tribe eyeing an amazing 19th consecutive victory, we can safely get behind their ace tonight.
C: Gary Sanchez – New York Yankees ($3.6k)
Sanchez is coming off of a double-dong outing and has homered off of Jake Odorizzi before, so he is again firmly in play. I was surprised to see him so cheap, too, while his splits against righties (.259 ISO, .375 wOBA) are obviously fantastic. He gets a park downgrade but he’s been wrecking pretty much ever since the All-Star break and catcher isn’t strong tonight, so chalk or not, he’s a great play.
1B: Jesus Aguilar – Milwaukee Brewers ($2.5k)
I don’t love paying down at 1B, as it is understandably loaded on pretty much every slate. Still, we could use some savings and we certainly get it with Aguilar, who is at home in a good park and offers some killer pop. He has slayed lefties, too, so it could be nice to jump on his gaudy splits (.221 ISO, .374 wOBA) against a beatable pitcher.
2B: Yoan Moncada – Chicago White Sox ($3k)
I don’t love 2B tonight, so we either need to go all the way up for Jose Ramirez or find value we like. Moncada could provide that, as he’s shown some pop and has his best splits against righties. He’s not a safe play, but he fits and helps us get the team we want.
3B: Mike Moustakas – Kansas City Royals ($3.1k)
Normally I’d be all over Jake Lamb or Travis Shaw at this same price, but both face southpaws and will be off of my radar. Instead we can pivot to Moose, who sports great splits against righties and will face a young one in Reynaldo Lopez that is getting rocked (.260 ISO) by lefty bats. Moustakas has been pretty pedestrian lately but hopefully he takes advantage of this killer matchup at home.
SS: Corey Seager – Los Angeles Dodgers ($2.7k)
Francisco Lindor ($4.5k) is probably the top play at SS tonight, but we have to save cash in some spots if we want stability at pitcher. You can sell out to get him, but I really don’t mind dropping all the way down to Seager. Yes, the Dodgers have been bad and are in a pitcher-friendly park, but this is just to cheap of a price for one of the best young talents in the game.
OF: J.D. Martinez – Arizona Diamondbacks ($4.2k)
I don’t have to use Martinez, but I really want to. Not only is he at home in a great park against a legty (he crushes southpaws with a .519 ISO), but he’s also been ablaze. Martinez double-donged in his last game and has knocked 8 balls out of the park over his last 8 contests. Ultimately, I just can’t pass his insane splits up.
OF: Teoscar Hernandez – Toronto Blue Jays ($2.1k)
It’s all about the savings here with Teoscar, who could be taken out of the lineup before tonight’s game. He just double-donged yesterday, though, and has been a bright spot for the Jays lately. Trusting him won’t be easy, but he brings serious salary relief and also gets to take on a shaky arm in Ubaldo Jimenez. That’s good enough for us.
OF: Ryan Braun – Milwaukee Brewers ($3.2k)
I’m also a little interested in Keon Broxton (he mashes lefties), but Braun is the safer play and he’s more fun to end our picks on. He’s back to hitting the ball well and is in a good spot at home against a lefty. Braun hasn’t destroyed southpaws or anything, but he’s been fine enough that we can use him against a shaky one in Steven Brault.