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FanDuel MLB Picks – September 13th

We won’t waste much time re-hashing Tuesday’s daily fantasy baseball picks. Clayton Kershaw was fine and we got two home runs out of Rhys Hoskins. Ian Happ also went yard, but we ultimately got burned by Corey Seager and Jake Lamb, who combined for 9 fantasy points.

In the end, you needed some combination of Twins (16 runs!) and Red Sox to take down a big GPP, while the big contest I was in saw Eduardo Rodriguez lead the way with 50+ fantasy points. Last night was a monstrous bowl of “whatever” in a lot of respects – namely with lefty on lefty catcher Jason Castro smacking two home runs. Seriously?

Tuesday didn’t go quite as planned, but we had some hits and we’ll keep on trucking on Wednesday. Let’s scour the slate and see what the best team to put in play looks like at FanDuel:

SP: Max Scherzer – Washington Nationals ($10.8k)

I never love using Mad Max against a Braves team that knows him well and doesn’t strikeout a ton, but I’m not seeing another path tonight. He hasn’t even been in amazing form, but he’s too good to be in a funk for long and his next gem could very easily arrive tonight.

Using Scherzer is partially about his upside, but look at the other arms we have to deal with. Jon Lester has been impossible to trust in 2017, Yu Darvish hasn’t been good and gets a Giants team that doesn’t K enough, Patrick Corbin went back to his old form in his last start and gets the Rockies at Chase Field, Dinelson Lamet is on the road against a Twins team that just dropped 16 runs and Aaron Nola seems tired.

I could go on and on, but the point is pretty much everyone has a red flag or two tonight. One guy I’m interested in but won’t be using is Dan Straily. He’s in a tough park and he’s been super spare lately, but a few starts ago he notched 10 Ks against the same Phillies he takes on tonight. This dude always goes nuts when I fade him, so consider him as a fun intermediate shot tonight.

Jack Flaherty has showed a little K upside and is at home against a volatile Reds lineup. He’s super cheap and is probably the only punt play I’m considering at pitcher tonight.

C: Mike Zunino – Seattle Mariners ($2.6k)

I also like Alex Avila here and it’s worth noting J.T. Realmuto ($2.9k) is on fire at the moment. I don’t love targeting Aaron Nola and we can’t be sure Avila is starting (he didn’t last night), so I’m on Zunino for now. I tried him last night and he got a strong 16 points, plus he mashes southpaws (.266 ISO) and gets a bad one in Martin Perez at Globe Life Park tonight. I’m calling a long ball here.

1B: Eric Thames – Milwaukee Brewers ($3.2k)

Thames donged last night and he tends to homer in bunches (he’s quite streaky), so I’m ready to take a stab at him again. He can be annoying to use, but he’s not a bad price and is at home in a great park against a shaky pitcher.

Tyler Glasnow isn’t without talent, but he’s gotten slapped around in 2017 and he’s making his first start since June. He hasn’t been impressive against the Brew Crew, either, while his 7.40 road ERA is just begging to be exploited.

I am into the Brewers as a fun stack tonight, so we can start it off with Thames and hope for a home run party. It’s logical, too, as Glasnow gave up 11 long balls over his last 8 starts. He could be rusty and even if he’s not, his 2017 form suggests we could see fireworks. He gives up power to both sides of the plate, but I’m favoring lefty bats here, as Glasnow is allowing a staggering .288 ISO and .434 wOBA to left-handed hitters this year.

2B: Neil Walker – Milwaukee Brewers ($3k)

We can keep it going here with Walker, who has donged Glasnow before and has nice splits against right-handed pitching. Walker has been in a mild rut but this should snap him out of it. Milwaukee as a whole still has a lot to play for and they’re at home, so there’s a lot t like here.

3B: Travis Shaw – Milwaukee Brewers ($3.1k)

You can go with a full 4-man Brewers stack (Stephen Vogt at catcher is another fine lefty to try), but I’ll probably keep it at three unless Ryan Braun easily fits into my lineup as we move along. For now we’ll cap it with Shaw, who sports great splits versus righties and like Walker has homered off of Glasnow once before.

SS: Corey Seager – Los Angeles Dodgers ($2.8k)

We don’t need to waste much time here. Are there better SS plays? Maybe, but Seager continues to offer insane value and he’s an elite talent. He is also actually better against southpaws by a lot this year, so we can freely target him against the beatable Matt Moore. He’s donged Moore twice before, too, so if we want upside we’re still getting it with Seager.

OF: Domingo Santana – Milwaukee Brewers ($2.8k)

I referenced finishing with a full 4-man Brewers stack and I don’t have an issue with it. I love Milwaukee tonight and it shouldn’t be a problem that Domingo is a righty bat. As stated, Glasnow gives up a lot of power to both sides of the plate and he struggles on the road. Santana does K a lot, but he could be a contrarian pivot away from Ryan Braun, who tends to be more efficient.

OF: Mitch Haniger – Seattle Mariners ($3.1k)

I love the value we can get with Haniger, who has been awesome lately and recorded 3 hits in his last game. Haniger is pretty useful tonight in a great park, as he faces a beatable southpaw in Martin Perez and boasts killer splits (.261 ISO, .371 wOBA) against left-handed pitching. Haniger is batting high in the order, too, so we should pounce on him before his price tag rises.

OF: Justin Upton – Los Angeles Angels ($3.4k)

I probably wouldn’t have been on Upton, had original Astros starter Lance McCullers Jr. hit the mound. He was scratched due to arm fatigue, however, which puts potential gascan Mike Fiers on the road against an Angels squad that doesn’t whiff much. Upton has tons of power and hasn’t homered yet with his new team, so it’s really just a matter of time before he does.

Beyond that, Upton sports solid splits (.216 ISO, .351 wOBA) against righties and could be a bit contrarian with more people trying to pay up for Mike Trout in this matchup. I also don’t hate switching Braun in for Domingo and rolling with someone like Max Kepler tonight.

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