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FanDuel MLB Picks – September 20th

Yesterday was a disaster. Zack Godley was not the stable arm we hyped him up to be, while most of the offense on a busy slate came from two games. J.D. Martinez again failed us horribly, as well. The good news is we did get some guys going with the long ball, as Paul DeJong and Ian Kinsler both donged. Justin Smoak, Josh Donaldson and Chad Pinder all got on the board, too, while Russell Martin racked up 15 fantasy points.

The hitting wasn’t atrocious, but our FanDuel lineup wasn’t going anywhere with Godley failing. It’s onward and upward as we head into a smaller main slate on Wednesday night:

SP: Robbie Ray – Arizona Diamondbacks ($11.4k)

I love me some Robbie Ray and I think tonight he could be a contrarian play. His price is admittedly bloated when we look at his name (just $200 cheaper than Chris Sale), but he has been a stud (57+ fantasy points in 4 straight starts) and no pitcher on this main slate touches his form right now.

Many will prefer the “safety” of Sale, but he’s more expensive and simply hasn’t been good. I’d much rather pay for Ray, who will be in a good park against a bad Padres lineup. San Diego has been tagging AZ pitchers lately, but they don’t have Ray’s number and he’s as dialed in as it gets.

Ray is my favorite pick across the board, but we can still look elsewhere – especially if we want to save cash. Luke Weaver has been awesome but feels a bit bloated at $9.6k, plus he’s in a tough spot against the Reds at Great American Ballpark. That could make him contrarian, though, while both Alex Wood ($9.4k) and Jon Lester ($9.1k) are in great matchups and can help us save a bit.

Brad Peacock ($8.9k) is probably as far down as I’ll go at pitcher at FanDuel tonight. The options beyond him are dicey to terrible. He’s at home against a weak White Sox team. My only issue with him is he can have command issues and doesn’t pitch deep into games. Overall, I’m fine with paying for Robbie tonight and I’m not that interested in Sale or really anyone else.

C: Yasmani Grandal – Los Angeles Dodgers ($2.5k)

Grandal kicks off our 4-man Dodgers stack tonight. Jake Thompson is not a pitcher to fear and Citizens Bank Park is a good spot to chase long balls. Not only did Grandal dong in his last start, but he’s got great splits (.229 ISO) in a great park. Thompson specifically struggles against the right side of the plate (.278 ISO!), too.

I might punt lower at a weak catcher position tonight, but for now I like Grandal plenty.

1B: Jesus Aguilar – Milwaukee Brewers ($2.3k)

Ideally we’d have the cash to spend at a loaded 1B position, but Robbie Ray will do that to ya. Instead we can dive for Aguilar, who crushes southpaws to the tune of a .208 ISO and .367 wOBA. PNC Park isn’t where I prefer to use Aguilar and Steven Brault destroyed the Brewers the last time he faced them, but I don’t think he’s as fortunate tonight. Besides, Aguilar is a cheap power bat with good splits. I’ll take my chances.

2B: Javier Baez – Chicago Cubs ($3.3k)

Baez usually isn’t batting in the best spot for Chicago and his price is inflated based on that, but I still don’t mind him tonight. He gets a park downgrade and faces a decent lefty in Blake Snell, too, but this kid crushes southpaws (.280 ISO). We could also consider saving with Rougned Odor ($2.4k), but he’s been awful.

3B: Alex Bregman – Houston Astros ($3.3k)

I love the Astros against James Shields tonight, so they’re all pretty much in play. If I didn’t need to save so much cash, I might stack them instead of the Dodgers or stack them with the Dodgers. I’ll settle for Bregman, who has modest splits against right-handed pitching but is at home against a shaky arm.

Shields is usually best attacked from the left side, but his ability to stink up the joint knows no actual boundaries. We can also consider value plays at $3k in usual suspect Jake Lamb and Adrian Beltre if we’re not trying to pay up at 3B tonight.

SS: Corey Seager – Los Angeles Dodgers ($2.9k)

I prefer Carlos Correa ($3.5k) against James Shields tonight, but Seager hits righties well and is just too cheap. I’ll keep using him as long as FD keeps him at such a steep discount. Jake Thompson is far better against left-handed hitters, but he’s still a shaky arm in a bad park for pitching. I’ll take my chances with an ultra cheap Seager tonight.

OF: Jose Martinez – St. Louis Cardinals ($2.5k)

I’m taking a dive at a few spots to get the team I covet tonight and Martinez is going to be part of that. He’s an efficient player that has displayed some pop and we can use him against a young pitcher in a great park for scoring. Martinez is dirt cheap and while I prefer to use him against a southpaw, his splits are fine for the spot he’s in.

Rookie Davis has flashed talent, but this isn’t a good matchup on paper and he gives up a .224 ISO and a staggering .428 wOBA to right-handed bats. A full St. Louis stack isn’t a terrible idea here, but I’ll just take some cheap exposure and hope it works out.

OF: Chris Taylor – Los Angeles Dodgers ($3.2k)

As I said, we’re doing a 4-man Dodgers stack and that could have us easily going in a number of directions. The reality is Jake Thompson allows a lot of hard contact and this is a bad park to do that in. He’s best attacked from the right side, while CT3 brings in solid splits (.213 ISO, .362 wOBA) against right-handed hurlers.

OF: Yasiel Puig – Los Angeles Dodgers ($3.4k)

Keep the theme running with Puig, who owns nasty splits (.261 ISO, .370 wOBA) versus righties and like the rest of L.A. is in a great park. I love his power here and any Dodgers righty is in play tonight. Like I said, I like Houston just as much as L.A., so we can also consider adding another Astro via Josh Reddick at $3.6k. Shields is especially vulnerable to lefty bats and he’s had a lot of success against the veteran righty.

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