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FanDuel MLB Picks – September 6th

Tuesday was a mitigated disaster. You know you’re night isn’t going right when Jacob deGrom exits early and gets precisely eight fantasy points. Fortunately I pivoted to Justin Verlander on my big tourney game last night. We also got burned by some of the bats, while Eric Thames didn’t even play.

It wasn’t all bad, of course. Ryan Braun chipped in 15 fantasy points, Aaron Judge racked up 9 fantasy points and Justin Upton dropped in 15 fantasy points of his own. Salvador Perez was the only true gaffe among our bats, as Neil Walker, Paul DeJong and Mike Moustaskas all at least got on the board with 6 fantasy points, a piece.

Overall, it wasn’t a winning night. Let’s turn up the heat and aim for better production with Wednesday’s daily fantasy baseball picks at FanDuel:

SP: Gio Gonzalez – Washington Nationals ($9.1k)

I’m mostly on Gio tonight, as he’s generally very stable and has destroyed the Marlins (3-0, 1.29 ERA) in 2017. Miami still presents some challenging power and Gonzalez did struggle last week against the Brewers, but this looks like a fine bounce-back spot for the steady lefty.

Carlos Carrasco ($10.1k) is my favorite play across the board, but he’s also the most expensive and he’s on the road. A date with the White Sox rarely scares anybody, though, and he might have the most upside of this slate. We can go there if the finances work out, but I don’t mind banking $1k and getting a plenty viable option like Gio instead.

We can go even cheaper, as Sonny Gray, Kevin Gausman and possibly even Dinelson Lamet are all interesting options in the $8k range. They all have their question marks, though. Gausman and Gray face off in Camden Yards with two elite power offenses waging war, while Lamet gets a Cardinals offense that can be tough to gauge.

The only real “punt” plays are Lance McCullers Jr. ($7.6k) and Johnny Cueto ($6.4k). McCullers is in his first game back off the DL and carries serious risk, while Cueto is dirt cheap but is at Coors. I won’t be using either, but they’re fun gambles in GPPs.

Ultimately, Gio is safe even though he might be mildly over-priced. He’s our top pick in terms of safety, value and upside, while Carrasco is the best play for cash games.

C: Salvador Perez – Kansas City Royals ($2.5k)

Perez bombed last night but he’s still cheap and offers nice power and splits in a good matchup, so back to the well we go. Matthew Boyd is his matchup tonight and he is not a good pitcher. He also gives up a .200 ISO to right-handed bats and Perez is slashing a cool .217 ISO against southpaws. Perez isn’t the safest play, but he’s a great one-off bat against a shaky pitcher, or we can put him in a nice KC stack.

Catcher is hurting with Gary Sanchez suspended still and Buster Posey possibly out with an injury. We can look for punts later today or we can pay up for Yasmani Grandal ($3.2k), who has a solid enough matchup at home and has the splits in his favor.

1B: Mark Reynolds – Colorado Rockies ($3.4k)

Reynolds snapped out of a mild funk with 18 fantasy points last night and he looks to be in a solid spot again tonight. Johnny Cueto can be a tough matchup, but Reynolds has done well against him in his career and also holds great splits (.244 ISO, .375 wOBA) against right-handed pitching. I’m not enamored with a lot of the pricey bats at 1B tonight, so why not just go with a viable power bat in Coors?

2B: Jose Ramirez – Cleveland Indians ($3.7k)

I’m sure the second I pay up for J-Ram the luck will run out, but this guy is on a tear (5 HR in his last three games) and we need to ride the wave. It’s not just about Ramirez being in a groove, though. He gets to face a beatable arm in Reynaldo Lopez, who is allowing a disturbing .353 ISO to the left side of the plate. Ramirez sports a .268 ISO against right-handed pitching, so this feels like a great spot to bank on a hot run continuing.

3B: Jake Lamb – Arizona Diamondbacks ($3.3k)

I love using Lamb when he’s both at value and in a good spot. Kenta Maeda is a solid pitcher, but Lamb crushes right-handed pitching and has a nice history (2 home runs) against Maeda. Arizona has been red hot in general, too, while Maeda just coughed up 7 runs against the D’Backs in his last start.

SS: Corey Seager – Los Angeles Dodgers ($3k)

The Dodgers have been awful (1-9 over their last 10 games) and Seager is banged up (elbow inflammation), but he pinch hit last night and could be nearing a return. A healthy Seager is worth paying up for, but we could get him at a severe discount if he’s active tonight. Obviously he needs to play to work out for us, but he has solid splits versus righties and has specifically done well against Taijuan Walker (7 for 15) so we can fire him up if he’s a full go.

This could be wishful thinking, as the Dodgers had previously suggested he won’t start again until Friday. If he’s indeed out, we can pivot to Marwin Gonzalez, who is the same price and carries strong splits against righties into tonight’s matchup against the Mariners.

OF: Carlos Gonzalez – Colorado Rockies ($3.2k)

We always want to consider having at least some exposure to Coors and I always like the value in getting cheap, viable bats that make sense there. CarGo fits the bill, as he’s a great price, is in a nice groove (5 hits over his last 5 games) and gets to face Johnny Cueto, who he’s fared well against (.343 batting average, 1 HR).

OF: Andrew McCutchen – Pittsburgh Pirates ($2.8k)

I stayed away from Cutch last night despite an alluring $2.4k price tag. That was a mistake, as he put up 12+ fantasy points for the second game in a row. Now we can get him at a great price again at home, where he can (hopefully) put his gaudy splits against southpaws (.417 ISO, .474 wOBA) to good use. He faces a strong arm in Jose Quintana, but at this price we can assume some moderate risk.

OF: George Springer – Houston Astros ($3.9k)

There are a lot of viable bats around this same price range and we can move things around to get higher up, but I’m not seeing the need. We can stand pat with Springer, who brings killer power upside to the table and also sports sweet splits (.241 ISO, .371 wOBA) against right-handed pitching. He faces a beatable arm in Andrew Moore, too, who has allowed a .241 ISO to righy bats.

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