Giants vs. Braves Pick MLB – June 19th

The Colorado Rockies have been laying waste to some sure-fire wager winners lately, and yesterday’s dram was no exception. The Rockies ruined an EASY under play with Nolan Arenado’s walk-off winning home run, which capped off an amazing day in which he hit for the cycle. Not a bad afternoon, and as he excitedly exclaimed in his on-field postgame interview, things are getting really fun in Denver (unless of course you had the UNDER yesterday or the Rockies on the runline Friday (me) and watched a 9-1 winner turn into a heartbreaking 10-9 failed cover in the final two innings..

Yesterday might have been the final appearance for one of the true good guys of the game, Bronson Arroyo. The 40-year old veteran left with shoulder pain after surrendering a ton of runs in two innings, including his MLB-leading 23rd home run allowed. With Homer Bailey ready to return from the DL, it seems unlikely the Reds, or anyone else for that matter, will be trotting the guitar-playing veteran to the mound anytime soon. If it is farewell, good luck Bronson and keep on rockin’ my man…

Let’s see if we can shake off a lousy weekend and start the fresh week in better fashion.

Today’s MLB Pick:

San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves
Johnny Cueto vs R.A. Dickey

This would have been an amazing pitching matchup… in 2011. Sadly, today, both veterans enter with some pretty gaudy numbers and in the midst of tough stretches. Cueto enters with an ERA over four and a half, easily the highest of his career, while the ageless Dickey is starting to look, well, less ageless, as his ERA hovers in the mid-fives.

The good news for each pitcher is that neither team is particularly great with the sticks. They both have a real chance to find some footing tonight, and the inflated 9.5 run total seems to be banking really heavily on both struggling. Neither offense is particularly good, so if either shows up, we should have some runs to spare.

Cueto’s last outing against KC was ugly, but prior to that, he had allowed three or less runs in three straight outings. Dickey is similarly coming off one of his worst outings of the season (and career) allowing eight runs. However, prior to that, he was only awful once in ten starts. And with knuckleballers, that possibility always exists. If the ball isn’t dancing, it is leaving the yard. Such was the case last outing, but it hasn’t been so most of the year.

The pitching matchup isn’t great, but the offenses are worse. The two teams rank 10th and 13th respectively in runs scored. That makes 9.5 a little lofty in my estimation. I’ll bank on at least one pitcher having a solid outing and keeping our score under the threshold.

Today’s MLB Pick: RUN TOTAL UNDER 9.5

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