Yesterday featured a couple of spectacular gag-jobs in MLB, one of them a gut-punch to my near-certain winner. I was feeling pretty comfortable about cashing in on the Dodgers on a nice slim moneyline until the worst offense in baseball, the San Diego Padres, roared back for three runs in the bottom of the ninth for the walk-off 6-5 win.
Even though that game affected me the most, it was far from the worst loss of the night. The Cincinnati Reds staked an early 8-0 lead against the Blue Jays and things looked pretty good with Mat Latos on the mound making his second start of the season after returning from the DL. But the Reds bullpen again made a mess of things, allowing two runs in the 6th, three in the 7th, the game-tying run in the 8th and then five more runs in the 9th to turn a 8-0 lead into a 14-9 stunning defeat. It’s a crazy game, and it’s why we love it – but also why it can leave you staring (or yelling) at your television in disbelief…
I think we bled at the altar of the baseball gods last night, so hopefully no more crazy bad luck befalls me tonight. Undaunted, let’s wade back in with a Saturday winner.
Today’s Free Pick:
San Francisco Giants +104 at Arizona Diamondbacks -111 (Total: 8.5)
Ryan Vogelsong (4-3, 3.94 ERA) vs. Brandon McCarthy (1-9, 5.18 ERA)
The Giants enter tonight facing the prospect of their first seven game losing streak in nearly four years. Their slide has let the Dodgers (who HAVE to be kicking themselves for blowing a ninth inning game in San Diego last night) creep back into the race. However, I like their chances of snapping that slide tonight against a pitcher, who despite some decent outings, is on pace to be a rare twenty game LOSER.
McCarthy has struggled equally on the home and road, posting an ERA just over five in each, and has lost five home starts in nine attempts without a single win.
Vogelsong has had his own mighty struggles against the D’Backs historically, posting an ERA over eight in his last six meetings. That explains the really generous line for the Giants tonight, but given the chance to get the better team against a pitcher who hasn’t won a single home game all season and whose team is 2-13 in games he has started – AND I can get (ever so slight) plus money??? I’m in. Give me the Giants to welcome Angel Pagan back to the lineup in winning fashion.