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Giants vs. Diamondbacks Pick MLB – July 1st

The Cubs squandered a 3-0 lead late to lose 4-3 and snap our nice three game winning streak (with two plus-money winners) in the process.  The Cubs bullpen has been pretty reliable this season, but I am sure a bullpen loss with only amplify the Aroldis Chapman rumors.  There’s no denying that the addition of a big time bullpen arm with make this team better, and given the way the Giants have looked lately, winning the National League is by no means a foregone conclusion.

The Nationals also remained hot yesterday, blistering the Reds for their fourth straight win to maintain their five game cushion over the Mets, and the Giants won 12-6 in Oakland in the first game a team has INTENTIONALLY not used the DH position – instead allowing Madison Bumgarner to bat for himself.  Look, I get it.  MadBum can hit and has some pop in his bat.  BUT… they still opted to allow a career .181 hitter to call the shots in a way that HAS to quietly rankle some of his benched position player teammates.  Is it a cute story?  Sure.  But is it a sound strategy overall?  Probably not.

There’s a host of good series starting tonight, headlined by the Cubs and Mets spending the Holiday Weekend in CitiField.  Let’s see if we can make some fireworks this weekend as well with a string of winners.

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Today’s Free Pick:

San Francisco Giants -155 at Arizona Diamondbacks +145 (Total: 8.5)

Johnny Cueto (11-1, 2.42 ERA) vs. Shelby Miller (2-7, 6.79 ERA)

To say it has been a rough year for Shelby Miller is an understatement.  The Diamondbacks expected to have a solid to excellent rotation this season to match a potent lineup.  It hasn’t come to fruition, and Miller is a big reason why.  He is one of the worst qualifying pitchers in all of baseball according to ERA and only has TWO quality starts this entire season.  His last outing he allowed more runs than innings pitched for the second time in three starts and tonight he faces one of the hottest and most dangerous teams in all of baseball.

Good luck.

Add in the fact that he is facing a guy who could start the All Star Game who will be looking to bounce back from his first and only bad outing of the season and it is easy to see tonight’s game getting away from Arizona in a major way.  The D’Backs have the second-worst home record in the league at just 13-28 (Atlanta is one game worse).  The Giants are 26-15 on the road, best in the league.

I like the Giants to cruise today behind a solid effort from Johnny Beisbol.  They will be missing three regulars in Joe Panik, Hunter Pence and Matt Duffy, but I expect they will still find Shelby Miller perfectly hospitable.  Minus 155 is a reasonable price, but I’m going to get greedy and take the even money on the runline.

Free Pick:  San Francisco Giants RUNLINE -1.5 (+100)

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