I’m officially in a slump after yesterday’s one-run loss. It’s the fourth straight one-run loss for me personally, and while it has still been a fantastic start to the baseball season, I’m still getting a little annoyed with the slew of tough beats and will look to get things back on track tonight.
It’s a short slate of games with only nine games total, three of them interleague affairs, and while there may be more meaningful games (Giants vs. Dodgers), there’s nothing I’m more looking forward to watching than Colorado and Texas. These two high-flying offenses hook up with the Rockies entering on an unbelievable tear. They have eight players hitting over .317 and six every days players hitting over .322 including Drew Stubbs’s career resurgence and Troy Tulowitski hitting well over .400. It’s an unbelievable offensive show going on, and it’s not fair to simply credit it to the thin air in Mile High. I’m looking forward to some runs in this one tonight in Dallas.
Today’s Free Picks:
San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers
Ryan Vogelsong vs. Josh Beckett
One of the best rivalries in baseball (yes ESPN, there are good baseball rivalries that do not involve the Yankees and Red Sox) takes center stage tonight at Chavez Ravine as two of the top contenders in the National League, and more specifically the National League West, begin a four game set.
The Giants have won nine of the last twelve meetings, but enter tonight on a two-game skid after winning ten of their previous eleven. The biggest reason for the skid is the sudden quieting of the bats. The Giants mustered just four runs in their two losses to the Pirates.
That said, offense hasn’t been too difficult to come from against Josh Beckett since he joined the Dodgers. He is 0-2 with a 3.63 ERA in three appearances. Lifetime he is just 4-5 against the Giants with a 3.43 ERA overall. It isn’t terrible, but it hasn’t led to many wins either. I don’t expect him to get shelled tonight, but I do like the Giant offense to wake up a bit and get back on track tonight.
Opposing Beckett will by Ryan Vogelsong who isn’t off to a great start this season. He is 1-1 but his ERA is 4.60, a far cry from his All-Star form of year’s past. His career ERA against LA hovers right around four, and this current Dodgers lineup is significantly better than the lineup of two and three years ago.
I like both teams to score some runs tonight and generate some offense. The 7.5 run total feels really vulnerable tonight. I’m taking the OVER.