Giants vs. Padres MLB Pick – July 2nd

The San Francisco Giants made the short trip south to San Diego for a three-game series against the Padres. The Giants opened up the series in a big way last night, as they pushed around the Padres by a score of 13-2. By the looks of it, the Padres didn’t really take the Giants seriously and paid for it.

San Diego were coming off a hard 5-3 loss the day before, after blowing a 3-0 lead against the Cardinals. They still won two out of three games, though. A sweep certainly would have been nice, though all of the momentum they had has been snapped in half. Since the 6th inning against the Cardinals on Sunday, the Padres have been outscored 16-2.

Just when the Padres look like they’re going to get something, they stumble and fall like they did last night. Losing to bad teams is going to happen, but going from a near sweep to losing, and then losing like they did on Monday night is a familiar sight for Padre fans. They’re still in the mix of a wildcard in the National League with a record of 42-42.

The Padres are .500 just like the Diamondbacks, but Arizona are likely going to be sellers and rebuild. Meanwhile, the Padres just acquired Manny Machado in the offseason and want to win soon. They also have young talent, like Franmil Reyes and Fernando Tatis Jr., who make the Padres an interesting team.

I don’t think this season, but in two or three years they could be a serious contender. A wildcard berth would be a nice learning experience for the younger guys on the roster, which is well within reach as we head into the final turn of the first-half of the season. Another youngster, Matt Strahm, hopes to get his season back on track after some difficulties recently. The Giants are expected to counter with Tyler Beede, who has been struggling as well. Head below for our free Giants vs. Padres pick.

S.F. Giants vs. San Diego Padres Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Padres -155/Giants +135
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Tyler Beede (1-3, 6.45 ERA)
  • Matt Strahm (3-6, 4.94 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Matt Strahm has watched his season go from really good to bad very quickly. He had something going there, but then when the calendar struck June, something happened to Strahm. The confidence that he had just went all out the window against the Marlins. He allowed 7 runs in 4.1 innings and hasn’t been able to find his confidence again since. Strahm followed that outing up with another dreadful performance, as he allowed 7 hits and 6 runs in 3.1 innings against the Rockies.

Well, maybe it was Coors Field being Coors Field? I’m sure that had something to do with it, but he followed that outing up with poor showings against the Brewers and Orioles, allowing 4 runs in each game. Note that in his last three games, Strahm has posted an ERA of 8.79 and 1.53 WHIP.

Strahm has had major difficulties keeping the ball in the park. He’s yielded 2 home runs in each of his last six games. And this has been at home in San Diego as well, a place that pitchers typically like pitching in. Strahm has been worse at home, posting a 5.85 ERA in 32.1 innings of work.

Tyler Beede has already had two awful performances against the Padres this season. He allowed 6 hits and 5 runs in 3.2 innings back in April, a 10-1 loss. And then more recently, Beede gave up 5 hits and 4 runs in 4.2 innings against the Padres on June 11th. With an ERA of 6.45 and 1.86 WHIP, Beede has had problems against a lot of teams this year.

Pitching on the road hasn’t been helpful either, as he enters San Diego with a 7.11 ERA, 1.93 WHIP, and .400 OBA. The Giants’ offense have been playing well recently, so perhaps he can get solid run support against Strahm. The Giants have piled up 23 runs in their last two games. I expect a 6-4 or 6-5 game, so a play on the OVER looks like a decent play out west in California on Tuesday.

The Bet
OVER 8.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.