Giants vs. Padres Pick MLB – September 3rd

I can’t complain with how my Labor Day went, as I cashed an easy ticket in the afternoon with the Mariners and Royals under. I realize everyone was glued to their TVs for that classic showdown, no not exactly, but it turned into money for me, and those that tailed. Luckily it wasn’t until the 7th inning that Felix Hernandez injured himself and had to leave the game. Both Hernandez and Duffy were pitching relatively well Monday afternoon, which ended up resulting in a 3-1 victory for the Royals in Kansas City. With Labor Day now in the rearview mirror, we are getting closer to the opening of the NFL season which hits us Thursday night with the Ravens vs. Broncos in Denver. I’ll have a play posted Wednesday night which promises to be a good way to start the season. Until then though, let’s continue to hit the MLB circuit.

Free MLB Pick:

San Francisco Giants -150 at San Diego Padres +130 (Total: 7)

Madison Bumgarner (11-9, 2.91 ERA) vs. Robbie Erlin (2-2, 5.97 ERA)

After providing you guys with a winner on one thrilling game yesterday, sarcasm, I look at another game that has plenty of fan interest. Actually, this game is more along the lines of two disappointing ball clubs that will just be happy when this season is over. Pitcher Madison Bumgarner has been the one bright spot in an otherwise dreadful season for the Giants. They started out with a lot of promise, but have been fizzling out for a couple of months now.

Bumgarner brings a proficient ERA of 2.91 with him to Tuesday night, as his latest performances have been his worst stretch of the season. Now, you’re probably expecting some bad numbers after saying that, but in general terms it isn’t bad at all. However, if you ask Bumgarner, allowing 3 runs in each of his last three games is not good enough. Under 3 runs a game is usually where Bumgarner falls by the end of his outings. The last time he has given up more than 3 runs in a game was way back on June 1st against the St. Louis Cardinals! Some great stuff from Bumgarner the last three months. He has faced the Padres a couple of times in recent memory, allowing only 2 runs in both games.

Bumgarner will be up against a lifeless offense in San Diego, where they have only managed to score 8 runs in their last five games. It has been like that all season long for the Padres, as they are completing another season of lackluster play. Robbie Erlin has showcased flashes of greatness for the Padres this year. He hasn’t had many opportunities, but outside of one horrific start, Erlin has been solid. That one horrific start was against the Nationals in Washington two starts ago. He followed it up with a phenomenal performance against the Diamondbacks a game later, though. Besides that one start, Erlin hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs in any game. He has been much better at home as well, where his ERA is 2.77 in big comfy Petco.

I have been money betting totals this season. I can check into it for an exact number, but I do believe I am flirting around 80% with totals. If you have followed me this summer you know this to be true. Consequently, I am going to stick with what has been putting food on the table. Sign me up for the under in San Diego.

Free Pick: UNDER 7

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.