Giants vs. Red Sox MLB Pick – September 18th

The San Francisco Giants and Boston Red Sox went long into the night on Tuesday at Fenway Park. When it was all said and done, the Giants went back to the team hotel with a 7-6 win after 15 innings. The Red Sox threatened to tie the game up in the bottom half of the inning, but left a runner stranded on 2nd base to end a long and grueling contest for the pitching staffs.

The win doesn’t amount to much for the Giants, though. They head into Wednesday on life support with a 9-game gap between themselves and the Brewers and Cubs for the final wildcard. The Brewers and Cubs are currently tied, while the Nationals would have homefield in the Wild Card Game.

Meanwhile, the Red Sox are in the same position in the American League. They are out of the postseason by 9 games. Other than the Indians, there are no other teams who are currently on the outside of the Wild Card Game that have a chance. It’s between the Indians, Rays, and Athletics. The Dodgers did the Indians a favor with a 7-5 over the Rays at Dodger Stadium on Tuesday evening. Cleveland blew out the Tigers, so it was a winning night for the Tribe all the way around.

The Red Sox are going to go out in 2019 without a chance to defend their championship in the postseason. They could never get over the hangover and will have to watch the playoffs from home. GM Dave Dombrowski has already been fired, so they’ve gotten a jump start on next season. This is less than a year after winning the World Series.

The Red Sox aren’t a team to be complacent despite a championship, though. Newly signed Jhoulys Chacin is scheduled to make his fourth start with the Red Sox tonight. Former Notre Dame wide receiver, Jeff Samardzija, will counter for the Giants. Head below for our free Giants vs. Red Sox pick.

San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Red Sox -168/Giants +144
  • O/U: 10

Pitching Matchup:

  • Jeff Samardzija (10-12, 3.72 ERA)
  • Jhoulys Chacin (3-10, 5.44 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Jhoulys Chacin has looked like a different pitcher in Boston with the Red Sox than how he was doing with the Brewers this season. The Brewers had enough of his struggles and decided to cut the cord and send him on his way into free agency. The Red Sox have been desperate for an extra arm in their rotation because of injuries, so acquiring Chacin made sense. I don’t think the Red Sox were expecting too much production out of Chacin, but he’s been pitching beyond what they envisioned.

Chacin didn’t have the best season in Milwaukee, as he finished with an ERA of 5.79 in 19 starts before getting released. In two starts and an appearance out of the bullpen as a reliever, Chacin has yet to allow a run in 5.2 innings. So, it’s a very small sample size and the Red Sox are likely going to be forced to give him more work tonight. The most he’s pitched is 2.2 against the Blue Jays.

The Red Sox went through 11 different pitchers last night. Nathan Eovaldi made the start and went 4 innings before handing the ball over to the bullpen. By the end of the night and 15 innings, the Red Sox had 10 members of their rotation in the contest. A fatigued bullpen is going to cause the Red Sox to keep Chacin out there to chew up innings. The Giants have done well against Chacin, with a .271 average and .346 OBP in 181 at-bats. They’ve also hit 7 home runs and 19 runs against Chacin.

The bullpen fatigue is likely going to be the same case for the Giants, too. The Giants went through 13 different pitchers. Logan Webb pitched a solid game, with 3 runs allowed in 5 innings of work. After he left the contest, the Giants had to churn through pitcher after pitcher to eventually get a 7-6 win.

It worked out, but left them vulnerable tonight. Jeff Samardzija enters Wednesday with an ERA of 6.62 and 1.36 WHIP in his last three games. Samardzija has had a quality campaign in 2019 and has stayed healthy. Speaking of fatigue, though, he has been starting to mail it in and call it a season of late. Expect enough runs on the board to put this matchup OVER the total at Fenway Park on Wednesday night.

The Bet
OVER 10
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.