Giants vs. Red Sox MLB Pick – September 19th

The San Francisco Giants piled up more frustration on the Boston Red Sox last night at Fenway Park. Behind a standout performance by Jeff Samardzija, the Giants rolled with a 11-3 win over the Red Sox. The Giants blew the doors open with a 5-run 9th inning to put the game out of reach. So, they started early with a 3-run opening frame, and then poured it on in the final inning as well.

Chacin’s scoreless run with the Red Sox came to an end rather quickly on Wednesday night. On the other side, Samardzija was brilliant with 2 hits and 1 earned run allowed. He’s been having one of the most under the radar seasons in the major leagues. There are a few really good underrated pitchers out there and Samardzija has been in that group.

The season is over for the Red Sox and they certainly played like a team beaten down and disinterested in playing last night. The Giants will be going for a three-game sweep of the Red Sox on Thursday afternoon. They opened the series with a 7-6 win in 15 innings Tuesday, and then followed it up with an easier win yesterday. The Giants’ season is in the toilet, but you wouldn’t have known it with that effort on display.

A sweep on the road against the Red Sox would be something to look back at as a positive in September. The Giants didn’t have great expectations for this season, so they can find some things that were still a positive. Attention will turn to the status of Madison Bumgarner in the offseason.

The Giants failed to trade him at the trade deadline, so it’s going to be interesting to see if they retain his services or not. This will be the first time in his career that he’s tested the waters in free agency. With one last big contract left, don’t expect Bumgarner to take a hometown discount in San Francisco.

He could be a valuable asset for a contender next season, so there could be a bidding war unfolding. That said, Bumgarner did regress this season and some teams will likely be cautious. Bumgarner is scheduled to get the starting nod in the series finale at Fenway this afternoon. Eduardo Rodriguez, who has developed into the Red Sox best option in the rotation, will counter on Thursday. Head below for our free Giants vs. Red Sox pick.

San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Red Sox -180/Giants +155
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Madison Bumgarner (9-8, 3.73 ERA)
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (17-6, 3.64 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Eduardo Rodriguez has shown absolutely no quit for the Red Sox. They are a banged up team with nothing to play for any longer, though Rodriguez has done his best to impress the front office. With David Price and Chris Sale out with injuries, Rodriguez has stepped it up the most in his absence. Rodriguez enters with a solid ERA of 3.64 and 1.32 WHIP. That’s nothing special or outstanding, but Rodriguez has been putting in some outstanding performances of late.

Note that Rodriguez has allowed 1 or no runs in five of his last six starts. And in his previous three outings, he’s posted an ERA of 0.92 and 1.02 WHIP. It was against some good offenses too, including the Twins, Yankees, and Phillies. That’s great stuff for Rodriguez, who is on pace to record a career-high ERA in 2019. Fenway Park has been good to him, as he’s posted an ERA of 3.13 and 1.22 WHIP at home this season. He hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs at home since June 24th against the White Sox.

That makes it eight straight outings without more than 3 runs scored in Boston. His opponent this afternoon, Madison Bumgarner, has had major success against his teammates in his career, so Rodriguez may have to be sharp. The Red Sox are hitting just .184 and 6 runs scored against Bumgarner in 76 at-bats.

Bumgarner won’t have to deal with J.D. Martinez or Mookie Betts, so that’s a plus for him. Boston have been less effective against lefties this season, with a .252 batting averaged compared to .273 against righties. We cashed the OVER in Boston last night, but in the series finale, the UNDER look like a good play with Bumgarner and Rodriguez on the hill.

The Bet
UNDER 9
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.