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Giants vs. Reds Pick MLB – July 4th

Max Scherzer and the Detroit Tigers jumped out to a 6-0 lead and didn’t look back, beating the Toronto Blue Jays 6-2. It gave Scherzer his 13th win on the season, hitting the 13-0 mark on the year. Most importantly though, we picked up another win. That makes only one losing day in seven days, the only loss being a rain delayed under bet that hurt us on Tuesday.

First and foremost before I go further with Thursday’s pick; happy 4th of July to all of the American readers. I hope you and your families have a safe and fun holiday. As a result of it being 4th of July, we are treated to baseball all day long. It resembles more of a Sunday card with plenty of games in the afternoon, and even one beginning in the morning.

Free MLB Pick:

San Francisco Giants +115 at Cincinnati Reds -130 (Total: 7.5)

Matt Cain (5-4, 4.29 ERA) vs. Mike Leake (7-3, 2.52 ERA)

Oh how quickly things can change in baseball. One month you’re on top of the world, and the next you find yourself at the bottom, very bottom. Of course I am talking about the San Francisco Giants, a team that looked great in May after they won six in a row, including a sweep of the Los Angeles Dodgers. Now fast forward to July, and you will see a team that has only won one out of their last eleven games. It looks like a typo, but it certainly is not. The Giants are seemingly spinning out of control with no end in sight.

The majority of their struggles are in large part because of their awful offense. It doesn’t need to take a professional handicapper to notice how bad the Giants’ offense is at the moment. In this span of eleven games, the most runs they have been able to muster up a single game is five, which occurred on two occasions. The pitching can’t be blamed, including Matt Cain, but this isn’t the same Giants’ pitching we have come to know over the years.

While this isn’t Matt Cain’s mess, he could be doing better to alleviate their troubles. When you’re known as an ace on a club, a 4.29 ERA is not what you expect to see. Cain has also had issues keeping the ball down on the road, where he has conceded 11 homeruns to opposing teams. The Reds have a few bats that can go deep, so he will need to do much better in this regard.

I really like Reds’ starter Mike Leake to continue doing what he has done all season long. He has been a consistent fixture in the Reds’ rotation in 2013, and has been churning out one impressive start after the other lately. In his last three starts Leake has a low ERA of 1.64 and 0.73 WHIP. He has also only given up one dinger in that stretch as well. I rode a winning streak yesterday in Max Scherzer, and today I am going to ride another streak, albeit a losing one.

Free Pick: Cincinnati Reds -130