San Francisco Giants +139 at Detroit Tigers -145 (Total: 7) – World Series Game Three
Ryan Vogelsong vs. Anabel Sanchez
The Giants remained hot (and in turn, my lengthy unblemished streak came to an ugly conclusion) and took a commanding 2-0 lead winning by the same score, 2-0, Thursday night. Many pundits are calling this series “over” but I would hesitate to throw dirt on the talented Tigers until after tonight’s game. The Giants know this as well as anyone, having come back from two even more improbably situations to get to this point. It will be an interesting game tonight, as temperatures in Detroit are expected to dip into the high 30’s – it’s gonna be real cold… but can the Tigers’ bats finally warm up?
Let’s dig into some trends and see if we can steal an edge in Game Three.
It’s no secret the Tigers haven’t hit thus far in the series, but let’s not mistake this for a punchless lineup. They have several advantages tonight that indicate a strong possibility of their bats awakening. First, the insertion of Andy Dirks into the lineup makes for a nice addition. He had the third best batting average against right-handed pitchers in all the majors, joining a list with Joey Votto, Andrew McCutchen, Mike Trout and ahead of Miguel Cabrera by a point. That infuses another direly-needed bat into the lineup.
The addition of Dirks’s bat isn’t the only benefit of coming home. It also allows the Tigers to move Delmon Young to his more appropriate DH role and improves the defense. Counter that with the Giants DH likely candidate, Aubrey Huff? Advantage Tigers.
I still am glowing about my initial selection of the Giants to win the series at +150. It is looking like a better value by the day, especially as the odds on the Giants continue to plummet lower and lower. However, I find it inconceivable that the Tigers; Miguel Cabrera and Prince Fielder, will continue to be silenced for the entire series. Sooner or later, they are bound to break out. I am not sure they “explode” tonight against Ryan Vogelsong, but I would stake a large wager they are not getting shutout again. I like them to get some runs and to make for a much livelier game tonight.
So it will come down to Anabel Sanchez. Will he be the big-time pitcher in the biggest spot; the reason the team acquired him at the trade deadline? If his 1.35 postseason ERA is any indication, the moment will not be too big for him, and he should have a looser Tiger team supporting him at home.
I like the Tigers to break out tonight and make this thing into a series. Perhaps I’m being stubborn, but I just don’t think the massive amount of breaks that have gone the Giants way can continue in freezing Detroit this weekend.
Give me the Tigers, both to WIN and on the runline tonight. I like them in a 4-1, 6-2 type ballgame tonight.
Free Pick: Detroit Tigers to WIN -145 & Detroit Tigers -1.5 (+155)