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Giants vs Tigers – Game Four World Series Pick

San Francisco Giants +135 at Detroit Tigers -143 (Total: 7) – World Series Game Three

Matt Cain vs. Max Scherzer

It has been over 32 years since Al Michaels famously asked his Olympic audience if they “believe in miracles?!?”  That same question could very well be echoing throughout the Tiger locker room and the city of Detroit this morning as the Tigers only hope in the World Series is to do something that no team in World Series history has ever done; dig out of a 3-0 hole to win the series.

To make things even more difficult, they will have to begin tha improbable run facing the Giants ace, Matt Cain.  Add in the fact the Tigers haven’t scored a run since Wednesday, becoming the first team to be shutout in consescutive games in the World Series, and have mustered only three runs the entire series.  Max Scherzer has pitched fantastic in the postseason, posting two wins and a 0.60 ERA and 0.87 WHIP.  However, hecertainly has his work cut out for him tonight – not that the Giants are hitting well, but more the fact that is isn’t possible to win a game 0-0….

So do the Tigers have ANYthing left in the tank?  Is there any fight left?  Is there any sense of resolve, or do they capitulate in embarrassing fashion, very much like the “Tank-ees” they just vanquished in the same fashion?  The truth is, I’m not sure they do.  I stuck with Detroit in Games Two and Three, figuring at some point their star-studded lineup would bleed out some offense.  To this point, they certainly have not.  I’ve lost two straight games stubbornly refusing to believe a team this good will continue to be shutout (though I did pick the Giants +150 to win the series before it started…happily).

So what to do tonight?  Well, from a Tigers perspective, they can keep some faith alive by knowing if they can somehow, someway get a win tonight, they have Verlander pitching tomorrow night at home in the cold with a chance to send this thing back to the Bay 3-2.  I hope for their sake, and the sake of a more interesting Fall Classic that they at least get us a chance to see Verlander tomorrow night in a pressure-packed redemption start.

I’ve all but given up on offense in this series, and with temperature continuing to dip, it is entirely possible the bats stay equally cold. A big, stubborn part of me wants to pick the Tigers.  This is HOW baseball is; you look inept one day, brilliant the next.  Look at Cincinnati, St. Louis, New York and now Detroit throughout this playoff season – all perfect examples of the polarity of results.  If you are hell-bent on picking a winner, I like Detroit, but concede San Fran is a good value pick at +135 with Cain starting against a team who seemingly hasn’t scored a run in a month.

However, my official pick, and the one I have some confidence in is the UNDER run total.  No one is scoring.  The weather is going to be cold.  The pitching is going to be good.  That’s a nice recipe for a low-scoring affair.

Free Pick:  Run TOTAL UNDER 7 (-115)