Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick – July 29

The MLB is set up with another great slate of action throughout July 29. Fifteen games are up on the board throughout Friday night. One of these games will be between the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays. These two teams have been solid this season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will start at around 7:10 PM Eastern time.

Cleveland has earned a record of 50-48 throughout this season, which has them sitting in second place of the AL Central. The Guardians are coming off a loss in their last game, but have gone 6-4 in their last 10 matchups. Cleveland is two games back on the top spot in the division. The Guardians will look to step up early on Friday night.

The Rays have put up a record of 53-46 so far on the season, which has them in third place of the AL East. Tampa Bay is coming off a loss in their last game and have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games. The Rays are thirteen and a half games back on the division, but in a wild card spot. Tampa Bay will look to extend their lead for a playoff berth with a win in this one.

These two teams have been solid throughout the season and will look to get a big win. The Guardians are coming off a loss in their last game, but have been strong as of late. Tampa Bay has struggled to get things going as well as of late. If either team can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Cleveland Guardians +1 ½ (-225) -110 Over 6 ½ (-115)
Tampa Bay Rays -1 ½ (+185) -110 Under 6 ½ (-105)
Team Data Cleveland Guardians Tampa Bay Rays
Overall Record 50-48 53-46
Away/ Home Record 25-29 31-18
Batting Average .252 .240
Batting Average Away/ Home .254 .238
ERA 3.90 3.42
ERA Away/ Home 4.17 3.10

Betting Trends

Cleveland Guardians

  • 11-14 in July games
  • 7-5 when playing on Friday
  • 27-26 in night games
  • 17-13 against left handers
  • 19-24 after a loss
  • 21-25 against team with a winning record

Tampa Bay Rays

  • 13-11 in July
  • 8-8 when playing on a Friday
  • 32-28 in night games
  • 42-33 against right handed starters
  • 5-1 after getting shut out
  • 24-22 after a loss
  • 28-23 against team with a winning record

These two teams met up seven times throughout last season. Tampa Bay went 6-1 in the season series, outscoring Cleveland 46-23. The Rays are coming off a four game road set against Baltimore and lost three of the four. Cleveland was on the road for four games against the Boston Red Sox. Both teams went 2-2 in those matchups.

Offense

The Guardians have been solid hitting the ball throughout the season. Cleveland has a .252 batting average, which is 8th in the league. The Guardians have earned an on base percentage of .315, which is 16th in the MLB. Cleveland has posted a .704 OPS, which is 16th in the league. The Guardians have a BA of .220 against left handers.

Tampa Bay has been solid hitting the ball so far on the season. The Rays have a batting average of .240, which is 16th in the MLB. Tampa Bay has put up a .307 OBP, which is 22nd in the league. The Rays have earned an OPS of .688, which is 23rd in the MLB. Tampa Bay has hit .236 against righties this season.

Cleveland has been a bit better hitting the ball this season and will look to get their bats going early. The Guardians have struggled against left handers though this season. Tampa Bay has struggled in their last stretch of games and will look to get their bats going. If either team can hit well early, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

I expect Shane Bieber to get the start at pitcher for Cleveland in this one. Bieber has started in 18 games this season, going 4-6 in those matchups. He has posted a 3.55 ERA and a WHIP of 1.15 in those outings. Bieber pitched six innings in his last start against the Chicago White Sox. He gave up eight hits and six runs in the loss.

Jeffrey Springs will likely get the nod on the mound for the Rays on Friday night. Springs has earned a record of 3-2 throughout his 20 appearances this season. He has put up an ERA of 2.50 and a 1.10 WHIP in those games. Springs pitched four and a third innings in his last start against the Kansas City Royals. He gave up eight hits and one run in the no decision.

These two pitchers have been solid throughout this season and will look to get going early in this one. Bieber has lost three of his last four decisions. Tampa Bay has the edge in the bullpen. The Rays relievers have a 3.49 ERA, which is 8th in the league. The Guardians bullpen has an ERA of 3.56, which is 10th in the MLB.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. Tampa Bay has struggled a bit as of late, but will look to step up early in this one. The Rays have the better pitching in this one. If Tampa Bay can get their bats going early, it could be enough for the win on Saturday. 

Bovada has both teams listed as a -110 against the money line in this one. This gives even odds to both teams to earn the win. I think that Tampa Bay should be favored in this one with it being at home. The Rays have the better pitching staff and I expect their bats to get going at home. At even odds, I like the value on Tampa Bay.

The Bet
Tampa Bay Rays
-110
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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