Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick – July 30

The MLB is set up with another great slate of action throughout July 30. Fifteen games are up on the board throughout Saturday. One of these games will be between the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays. These two teams have been solid this season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will throw the first pitch at around 1:10 PM Eastern time on MLB Network.

Cleveland has earned a record of 51-48 throughout this season, which has them sitting in second place of the AL Central. The Guardians are coming off a win in their last game and have gone 6-4 in those matchups. Cleveland is one and a half games back on the division lead. The Guardians will look to come out fast on the road in this one.

The Rays have put up a record of 53-47 so far on the season, which has them in third place of the AL East. Tampa Bay has lost their last two games and have gone 3-7 throughout their last 10 games. The Rays are far back on the division lead, but are in a wild card spot. Tampa Bay will look for the win on Saturday afternoon.

These two teams have been solid throughout the season and will look for a big win in this one. The Guardians have been solid throughout their last stretch of games and will look to build on the win. Tampa Bay has struggled a bit in their recent stretch of games. If either team can step up early, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Cleveland Guardians +1 ½ (-200) +105 Over 7 ½ (-110)
Tampa Bay Rays -1 ½ (+170) -125 Under 7 ½ (-110)
Team Data Cleveland Guardians Tampa Bay Rays
Overall Record 51-48 53-47
Away/ Home Record 26-29 31-19
Batting Average .252 .239
Batting Average Away/ Home .253 .237
ERA 3.87 3.43
ERA Away/ Home 4.11 3.12

Betting Trends

Cleveland Guardians

  • 11-15 in July games
  • 7-11 when playing on Saturday
  • 23-22 in day games
  • 33-35 against right handers
  • 22-25 against team with a winning record

Tampa Bay Rays

  • 13-12 in July
  • 9-8 when playing on a Saturday
  • 21-18 in day games
  • 42-34 against right handed starters
  • 24-23 after a loss
  • 28-24 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up once this season on Friday night. Ji-Man Choi had the lone RBI for the Rays, which was not enough for the win. Andres Gimenez had a two run homer, while Jose Ramirez had a solo shot and an RBI single in those games. The Guardians were able to hold on for the 4-1 win.

Offense

The Guardians have been solid hitting the ball throughout the season. Cleveland has a .252 batting average, which is 7th in the league. The Guardians have earned an on base percentage of .315, which is 14th in the MLB. Cleveland has posted a .704 OPS, which is 15th in the league. The Guardians have a BA of .262 against righties.

Tampa Bay has struggled a bit at the plate on the season. The Rays have a batting average of .239, which is 19th in the MLB. Tampa Bay has put up a .307 OBP, which is 22nd in the league. The Rays have earned an OPS of .687, which is 23rd in the MLB. Tampa Bay has hit .235 against right handers this season.

These two teams will look to get their bats going early in this one. Cleveland had eight hits in Friday’s tilt, while the Rays earned six. Tampa Bay will need to step up early at home in this one. The Guardians have been great against right handers and will look to keep it going. If either team can hit well early, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

I expect Zach Plesac to get the start at pitcher for Cleveland in this one. Plesac has started in 18 games this season, going 2-8 in those matchups. He has posted a 4.09 ERA and a WHIP of 1.26 in those meetings. Plesac pitched five innings in his last start against the Boston Red Sox. He gave up three hits and three runs in the loss.

Corey Kluber will likely get the nod on the mound for the Rays on Saturday afternoon. Kluber has earned a record of 6-6 throughout his 19 starts this season. He has put up an ERA of 3.91 and a 1.14 WHIP in those outings. Kluber’s last start was against the Baltimore Orioles. He gave up seven hits and four runs through five innings in the loss.

Plesac has struggled to get in the win column this season, losing his last three decisions. Kluber has won three of his last four games. Tampa Bay has a slight edge in the bullpen entering this one. The Rays relievers have a 3.48 ERA, which is 7th in the MLB. The Guardians bullpen has a combined ERA of 3.53, which is 9th in the league.

Pick Overview

The Guardians have been solid as of late, while Tampa Bay has been struggling. The Rays dropped Friday’s tilt against Cleveland and will look to bounce back in this one. Tampa Bay has been better on the mound and will look to get their bats going early. If the Rays can get the early lead, I think they can earn the win.

Bovada has Tampa Bay listed as a -125 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Rays will win this game around 55.6 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate with Tampa Bay looking to bounce back at home. I expect the Rays to come out much faster in this one. As slight favorites, I like the value on Tampa Bay.

The Bet
Tampa Bay Rays
-125
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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