Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers MLB Pick – July 5

The MLB is set up with another strong slate of baseball action throughout Tuesday night. Fifteen games are up on the board throughout July 5. One of these games will be between the Cleveland Guardians and the Detroit Tigers. These two teams are on opposite sides of the standings, but will look for the win. This game will throw the first pitch at around 7:10 PM Eastern time.

Cleveland has earned a record of 40-38 throughout this season, which has them in second place of the AL Central. The Guardians have lost two games in a row and are 4-6 throughout their last 10. Cleveland are two games back on a wild card spot entering this one. The Guardians will look to come out fast on the road.

The Tigers have put up a record of 32-47 so far on the season, which has them in fourth place of the AL Central. Detroit has won two games in a row and have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games. The Tigers have fallen far out of the playoff race, but will look for the winning streak to keep going. Detroit will look to step up early at home.

These two teams are on opposite sides of the standings entering this matchup, but will look for the win. The Guardians have struggled a bit as of late, but will look for a quick win in this one. Detroit will look to step up early to keep their winning streak alive. If either team can come out fast, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Cleveland Guardians -1 ½ (+110) -155 Over 9 (-105)
Detroit Tigers +1 ½ (-130) +130 Under 9 (-115)
Team Data Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers
Overall Record 40-38 32-47
Away/ Home Record 20-21 21-24
Batting Average .242 .229
Batting Average Away/ Home .240 .240
ERA 3.94 4.05
ERA Away/ Home 4.01 4.02

Betting Trends

Cleveland Guardians

  • 1-4 in July games
  • 6-6 when playing on a Tuesday
  • 17-13 against divisional opponents
  • 21-19 in night games
  • 24-25 against right handers
  • 15-19 after a loss
  • 17-10 against team with a losing record

Detroit Tigers

  • 3-2 in July
  • 3-10 when playing on Tuesday
  • 14-16 against division rivals
  • 13-25 in night games
  • 22-33 against right handed starters
  • 13-17 after a win
  • 13-25 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up seven times this season. The first two games were in Cleveland, where both teams went 1-1. The next three games shifted to Detroit, where the Tigers won two of the three games. Miguel Cabrera and Riley Greene both had two RBI’s as Detroit won both halves of the double header yesterday to go up 5-2 in the season series.

Offense

The Guardians have been solid hitting the ball throughout this season. Cleveland has a batting average of .242, which is 14th in the league. The Guardians have earned a .307 OBP, which is 21st in the MLB. Cleveland has put up an OPS of .684, which is 23rd in the league. The Guardians have hit .251 against righties this season.

Detroit has been struggling a bit on the plate so far on the season. The Tigers have a .229 batting average, which is 26th in the MLB. Detroit has posted an on base percentage of .297, which is 29th in the league. The Tigers have earned a .622 OPS, which is also 29th in the MLB. Detroit has a BA of .216 against right handers.

These two teams have struggled a bit hitting the ball this season. The Tigers have struggled to hit the ball at times this season, but will look to step up early. Cleveland has been the better team at the plate and will look to build on it in this one. If either team can hit well early, it could be enough for the win on Tuesday.

Pitching Preview

I expect Cal Quantrill to get the start at pitcher for the Guardians in this one. Quantrill has earned a record of 4-4 throughout his 14 starts on the season. He has posted a 3.72 ERA and a WHIP of 1.240 in those starts. Quantrill pitched eight innings in his last start against the Minnesota Twins. He gave up eight hits and three runs in the no decision. 

Drew Hutchison will likely get the nod on the mound for Detroit on Tuesday night. Hutchison has appeared in 12 games this season, going 0-4 in those outings. He has put up an ERA of 4.81 and a 1.521 WHIP in his outings. Hutchison’s last start was against the Texas Rangers. He gave up four hits and three runs through four and two thirds innings.

These two pitchers will look to step up early as they meet up on Tuesday. Hutchison has struggled a bit this season, while Quantrill has been solid. The Tigers have the edge in the bullpen entering this one. Detroit’s relievers have a 3.03 ERA, which is 3rd in the league. The Guardians bullpen has a combined ERA of 3.61, which is 13th in the MLB.

Pick Overview

The Guardians are coming off two losses to Detroit on Monday night and will look to step up in this one. Cleveland has the better pitching and has the edge on the mound in this matchup. The Guardians will look for their offense to get going quicker on Tuesday night. If Cleveland can get an early lead, it could be enough for the win.

Bovada has the Guardians listed as a -155 against the money line in this one. This implies that Cleveland will win this game around 60.8 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate, but there is little value in it. The Guardians are also listed at -1 ½ for +110 in this one. I expect Cleveland to come out fast in this one as they look to get a huge win.

The Bet
Cleveland Guardians -1.5
+110
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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