Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Pick – MLB September 16, 2021

The Houston Astros and Texas Rangers conclude a four-game series at Globe Life Field on Thursday evening. The Rangers are looking for a split, while the Astros can take three of four games in Arlington in this one. In their most recent meeting, the Astros dispatched the Rangers easily by a score of 7-2.

Jose Urquidy was in good form with 2 hits and 1 earned run allowed across 6 innings of work. Josh James gave up a run in the bottom of the 9th with the game out of reach to make it a 7-2 final instead of 7-1. With the win, the Astros advance to 85-60 on the season for a seven-game lead on the Oakland Athletics.

While one team faded away in the AL West, that isn’t the case in the NL West with the Dodgers and Giants. The Astros have to be feeling fortunate that the Oakland Athletics dropped off hard. This looked like a race a couple of months ago, but the ‘Stros have cleared in the AL West and look good to win the division.

I’m not sure that the Astros look like a World Series contender this season, but they are certainly going to have motivation to show that they don’t need “help” to win a World Series. I just don’t know if they can match some of the better pitching staffs over the course of a seven-game series.

The Astros look like they’re in the clear for the divisional title in the AL West. However, their seeding is still influx with the Chicago White Sox. The White Sox have two wins on the Astros for the second overall seed in the American League. The Tampa Rays are currently leading the AL with a record of 90-56.

Houston is expected to go with the reliable Framber Valdez on the bump in this one. The lefty has been in good form in Houston this season, but is coming off a couple of iffy performances. The Rangers are expected to side with Glenn Otto in this spot. Head below for our free Astros vs. Rangers pick on September 16, 2021.

Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Houston Astros -1.5 (-132) -202 Over 8.5 (-117)
Texas Rangers +1.5 (+112) +185 Under 8.5 (-103)
Team Data Houston Astros Texas Rangers
Overall Record 85-60 54-91
Away/Home Record 40-33 32-39
Batting Average .266 .229
Batting Average Away/Home .267 .234
Runs Per 9 5.41 3.95
Team ERA 3.73 4.72
Team ERA Away/Home 3.95 4.18

Astros vs. Rangers Prediction:

The Astros are depending on Framber Valdez to bounce back after a couple of rough performances. Overall, Valdez has been in good shape with an ERA of 3.26 and a 1.27 WHIP across 116 innings of work. This assignment shouldn’t be as difficult as the Angels and Padres. The Rangers have been useless versus Valdez with a .138 batting average and 3 RBIs in 52 at-bats.

Valdez has a nice opportunity for a bounce back spot in Arlington tonight. His last two attempts against the Rangers were fantastic. Valdez held the Rangers to 3 hits and 2 runs through 7 innings in a 5-2 win on August 28. This was after he gave up no hits and no runs through 6 in a 4-1 win on July 24. This looks like the perfect spot for Valdez to get some of his confidence back.

Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 9-2 overall in their 11 games versus the Rangers
  • 6-3 overall in their previous nine games versus the American League
  • 4-8 overall in their previous 12 games on the road
  • OVER is 5-0-2 in their previous seven games after allowing 2 or fewer runs in their previous game
  • Framber Valdez ERA (Last 3): 5.00


  • Record (Last 10): 7-3
  • 0-5 overall in their previous five games
  • 23-49 overall in their previous 72 games after a loss
  • 29-64 overall in their previous 93 games as an underdog
  • 18-37 overall in their previous 55 games versus a team with a winning record
  • 6-12 overall in their previous 18 games at Globe Life Field
  • Glenn Otto ERA (Last 3): 6.92

Valdez should get solid run support behind the second-highest scoring offense in the major leagues. The Astros have a team batting average of .269 for the lead in the majors. Along with the fourth best pitching staff in the majors, the Astros are still a dangerous team not to be ignored in the postseason.

Former Yankee, Glenn Otto, is going into Thursday night with an ERA of 6.92 and a 1.23 WHIP. He made his major league debut on August 27 and was outstanding versus the Astros. Otto gave up 2 hits and no runs across 5 innings of work. Despite a near perfect start, the Rangers still lost the ballgame by a score of 5-4.

Otto hasn’t been holding up as well since that outing. He was torched for 8 hits and 8 earned runs in 3.1 innings versus the Athletics in his most recent attempt on September 10. That took his ERA all the way up to 6.92 on the season. With the Astros already seeing the rookie once, I’m confident that they will be more prepared this time around. Houston by at least 2 runs on the runline looks bettable in Arlington.


Astros vs. Rangers Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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