Indians vs. Braves Pick MLB – August 29th

I don’t know to feel fortunate or unfortunate yesterday, but when it was all said and done we received a push on our under wager in the Marlins/Nationals game. Starters Henderson Alvarez and Stephen Strasburg had to leave early in this one, after the 2nd inning in fact, because an hour long rain delay managed to bump them from the mound. The bullpens took it the rest of the way from there, pitching with mixed reviews. Managing a push on an under bet when your two starting pitchers are out before the game even starts could be considered a win. Let’s take a look at Thursday, where I hope we can cash a bet with no outside forces impacting the outcome.

Free MLB Pick:

Cleveland Indians +135 at Atlanta Braves -155 (Total: 8)

Ubaldo Jimenez (9-8, 3.95 ERA) vs. Kris Medlen (10-12, 3.74 ERA)

With the eyes of the nation turning their attention to college football tonight, there are still important MLB games going on today that garner some attention. It’s a small card with some afternoon action, but we’re taking a look at an interleague showdown in Atlanta for our Thursday pick. The Indians are still desperately trying to keep the Tigers in reach of them in the AL Central. While still statistically possible, I’m afraid the Indians are all but out of it.

The Indians can inch closer to their fairy tale ending with a win out of Ubaldo Jimenez tonight. Jimenez was a got commodity as a free agent as a Colorado Rockie, but hasn’t lived up to expectations as an Indian. An ERA of 3.95 isn’t terrible, but its just average, and that’s been the problem with Jimenez since coming to Cleveland. Jimenez has been coming around lately though, so maybe he’ll finish this season strong and carry it into next year. In his last three starts, he has pitched well enough for an ERA of 2.50. In that stretch he hasn’t surrendered a single homerun. The last game he gave up more than 3 runs was against the Royals on July 14th, where he allowed 4.

The season of Kris Medlen has been that of a rollercoaster. He started the season off red hot and then fell back down to earth with a series of awful starts. But Medlen, like a rollercoaster, is heading back up towards the sky. He isn’t at the top yet, he hasn’t matched his gaudy numbers from a year ago, but Medlen has shown us why he had a 1.57 ERA back then. His last three starts have yielded good numbers at 3.15, allowing 3 runs in his last start and only 1 in two prior to that.

Both teams have been in funks offensively. The Braves have been that kind of team though, relying on good pitching to win ugly low scoring contests. They have had their moments on offense for sure, but that has generally been their M.O. I can see some more of that coming to fruition tonight, with both pitchers holding their own, but the Braves should eventually edge the Indians out. Because I see this being a low scoring affair, I’ll gladly take the 8 on the under.

Free Pick: UNDER 8