Indians vs. Tigers MLB Pick – August 27th

The Cleveland Indians are in Detroit for a three-game series at Comerica Park. Cleveland are entering clutch season and they have to win these winnable games. These are what kill teams when it comes down to the end of the season. You add up all of the bad losses and it means a lot by the time the regular season draws to a close. Look no further than the Philadelphia Phillies, who have given up a lot of winnable games this season.

The Indians were slow starters in 2019, as they were hovering around ten games behind the Minnesota Twins earlier in the year. They were able to reel the Twins in, but now they must finish the job in the AL Central. It’s not going to be easy, though, as they go into Tuesday down by 3.5 games.

That’s why these winnable games are so important. It’s an easier opportunity for the Indians to play catch up, especially considering the Twins are in a winnable scenario against the White Sox this week as well. Falter here and the Twins could pull away because they have the Tigers on the weekend. That’s six games for the Twins against well below average clubs.

Cleveland are coming off two out of three wins against the Kansas City Royals over the weekend. They came a run short of getting the sweep on Sunday afternoon in a 9-8 final. The Indians were coming off a horrible series against the Mets, as they got swept in three games.

Conversely, the Tigers were losers in two of three games against the Twins. Adam Plutko will get his 15th start of the season against the Tigers in Detroit tonight. The home team will counter with rookie Spencer Turnbull. Head below for our free Indians vs. Tigers pick.

Cleveland Indians vs. Detroit Tigers Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Indians -140/Tigers +120
  • O/U: 9.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Adam Plutko (5-3, 4.54 ERA)
  • Spencer Turnbull (3-12, 4.05 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Spencer Turnbull has been a serviceable member of the rotation for the Tigers this season. He hasn’t done anything too special, but for a rookie he has something to build on for next year. His record of 3-12 would look a lot better with a good offense. Rather, Turnbull is playing on the worst offense in baseball and the numbers don’t like. The Tigers are 30th with 3.65 runs scored per game. They’ve consistently been around that mark pretty well all season long.

Adam Plutko should have a nice day against this Detroit offense. In his first outings against them in his career he was pretty good, but got roughed up in his most recent showing vs the Tigers. It was his last really poor outing of the season, where Plutko allowed 5 earned runs in 5.1 innings.

That’s the only start he’s allowed runs against the Tigers. In his career, The Tigers have just a .224 OBP against him in 49 at-bats. He is coming off a strong outing against the Mets in a 4-3 loss. Pluto has allowed 3 or less runs in five of his last six performances. Ever since the lackluster effort against Detroit in July, he’s gotten in a nice groove.

Conversely, Turnbull has struggled mightily against the Tribe in his career. They are hitting .347 with a .397 OBP and 11 runs scored in 72 at-bats. There are seven hitters on the Cleveland roster who are hitting better than .300 against Turnbull. In need of wins down the stretch, I don’t think the Indians are going to take the Tigers lightly here. Also note that they’ve dominated the Tigers with an overall record of 52-17. The Indians look like the play here if the price is fair around the -150 or -140 mark.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.