We split our MLB picks last night, and while the last week has seen things level off, it hasn’t been the return to the blazing hot streak we started the season with quite yet. With the kickoff of the weekend series, we will look to get back on track with a nice run of winners and some good, favorable high-value matchups.
The weekend features some interesting matchups. The ridiculously hot Cleveland Indians will look to keep things going during their visit to division rival and defending AL Champ Detroit Tigers. If the Indians can keep it up for another three days, they could very well find themselves leading the Central into mid May – something that would surprise even the most strident Indians fans.
The National League also has a glamorous pairing, as the Atlanta Braves take the second-best record in the National League out to San Francisco to try and cool off the defending World Series champs in the Bay. So let’s take a look at both of these series and the pitching matchups to find a winning edge tonight.
Cleveland Indians +190 at Detroit Tigers -200 (Total: 8.5)
Corey Kluber (2-1, 3.06 ERA) vs. Max Scherzer (4-0, 3.43 ERA)
Beating Max Scherzer on the road is a tough task for anyone, even a team on the kind of roll the Indians are currently enjoying. Scherzer is a perfect 4-0 this season, so no one has done it yet… However, the Indians will counter with a pitcher having a fine year in his own right, Corey Kluber. He may only have two wins, but hs 3.06 ERA is actually a third of a run LOWER than Scherzer’s.
Are the Tigers a better team with a nice pitching edge tonight? Sure. Are they 2:1 favorite worthy?? It feels like a nice value line for Cleveland. This team is on fire and is sending a quality starter to the hill tonight. I’ll take a flyer on the Indians for the sheer value of the +190 line.
Free Pick: Cleveland Indians to WIN +190
Atlanta Braves +112 at San Francisco Giants -120 (Total: 7)
Tim Hudson (4-1, 3.83 ERA) vs. Matt Cain (1-2, 5.57 ERA)
R.A. Dickey. David Price. Roy Halladay. It’s been the year of the struggling star pitcher to this point in the season. Somehow oft overlooked in this list is Giants’ rock, Matt Cain. For five years he has been the most consistent and reliable right hander in the league. However, through the first six weeks of the season, it has been a rough go for Cain. He has won only a single game and his ERA is up over five and a half. However, last outing against the Dodgers has awakened the hope that Cain is finally back on track and ready to statistically regress back to the norm. He went 7 2/3 against the Dodgers, allowing only a single run and just five hits.
Meanwhile, Tim Hudson, who has battled injuries for years, has looked like his old self, the dominant pitcher who was paired with now-Giant Barry Zito on the dominant A’s staff of nearly a decade ago. He has pitched well enough to win four times, though some of that record is buoyed by generous run support. I am not sure he is going to get a ton of runs tonight. I’m trusting Matt Cain to be Matt Cain in front of the home fans tonight.
Free Pick: San Francisco Giants to WIN -120