Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians Pick – MLB May 31, 2022

The Kansas City Royals and Cleveland Guardians return to Progressive Field for the second of three games. The Guardians opened with an impressive 7-3 win last night. Zach Plesac was in good form, with 5 hits and 1 earned run allowed through 6 innings.

Conversely, Jonathan Heasley had little to show for his effort last night. He was tagged for 6 hits and 3 earned runs across 6 innings of work. Jose Ramirez and Andres Gimenez had big showings with 3 RBIs each.

The Guardians are 20-24 and 6.5 games behind the Minnesota Twins for the lead in the AL Central. The Twins are still the only team in the division with a record better than .500.

The White Sox continue to tread water at .500 with a record of 23-23, but the Twins remain the only team over the hump. It’s clearly been a slow start for the AL Central, but expect things to open up soon.

The one team that could be a sleeper and a good bet over the summer is the Detroit Tigers. There were expectations for this team to be competitive going into the season, and they tripped through the first two months. They should stabilize and go on a run.

The Royals are dead last and should stay there.

The Guardians are a team with a big question mark over their heads right now. They are hoping to at least be better than .500. Detroit was in the basement, but they’ve pulled ahead of the Royals and should pull away.

Cal Quantrill is coming off a big performance against the Houston Astros in a 2-1 loss. Despite the loss, Quantrill did what he could to keep the Guardians in contention.

Daniel Lynch is scheduled to be in the saddle for the Royals. He’s holding up well in his second season in the majors after a below-average 15-start rookie campaign. Head below for our free Royals vs. Guardians prediction on May 31, 2022.

Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
KC Royals +1.5 (-175) +107 Over 9 (-115)
Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (+150) -128 Under 9 (-105)
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Team Data KC Royals Cleveland Guardians
Overall Record 16-31 20-24
Away/Home Record 8-16 9-8
Batting Average .236 .240
Batting Average Away/Home .235 .240
Runs Per 9 3.84 4.58
Team ERA 5.02 3.84
Team ERA Away/Home 5.56 3.25

Royals vs. Guardians Prediction:

The Royals are looking for positives here and there this season. One of those is lefty Daniel Lynch. They want him to be a big part of their future in Kansas City.

He got his feet wet, with an ERA of 3.92 and a 1.41 WHIP across 39 innings. Lynch is going into Progressive Field with a 3.55 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in his previous three starts. He was on fire three starts ago, having allowed no runs in 5.1 innings against the Rockies.

That was the most impressive start of Lynch’s career, this coming at Coors Field. Since then, Lynch has allowed 6 earned runs across 9 innings of work.

Cleveland had success against Lynch in previous matchups. They are hitting .344 with an OBP of .438. The Guardians tagged Lynch for 5 RBIs in 29 at-bats.

The Guardians are eighth in the majors with 4.65 runs per 9 innings.

They are backed by Cal Quantrill, who is in good shape at the moment. The 27-year-old is coming off two standout performances against the Reds and Astros.

KC Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 2-8
  • 2-5 overall in their previous seven games on the road
  • 2-6 overall in their previous eight games after a loss
  • 0-5 overall in their previous five second game of a series
  • 6-17 overall in their previous 23 games versus the Guardians
  • 2-7 overall in their previous nine games versus the AL Central


  • Record (Last 10): 4-6
  • 40-17 overall in their previous 57 games as a betting favorite at home
  • 9-4 overall in their previous 13 games as a betting favorite
  • 10-3 overall in their previous 13 games versus a team with a winning record
  • 40-19 overall in their previous 59 games at home
  • 17-6 overall in their previous 23 games versus the Royals

  • Quantrill was on point in his most recent appearance at home. He shut down the Reds for 5 hits and 1 earned run on May 19 and then went on the road for a strong outing in Texas.

    Quantrill gave up 2 earned runs at Minute Maid Park in Houston, though little run support in a 2-1 loss.

    The Royals are hitting .236 against Quantrill in 84 at-bats in his career. Overall, the Royals’ offense hasn’t had much to offer in 2022.

    They are 25th in the majors with 3.91 runs scored in 9 innings and 0.76 home runs per game for 26th in the major leagues.

    Quantrill should be in good form in this one, with a good chance of leading the Guardians to a win on Tuesday evening.


    Royals vs. Guardians Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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