Kansas City Royals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick – September 18, 2020

Probable Starters:

    Danny Duffy (3-3, 4.24 ERA) vs. Adrian Houser (1-5, 5.40 ERA)

The Kansas City Royals and Milwaukee Brewers do battle over the next three days at Miller Park in Milwaukee. It’s been a tough season for the Brewers, as they enter Friday with a lackluster record of 23-26.

That still puts them in a position to go to the postseason, believe it or not. Do they deserve to be in this position? Absolutely not. They’ve been up and down and it certainly doesn’t feel like the Brewers have been a playoff squad.

The Philadelphia Phillies are the last team into the postseason with a mark of 24-25. That gives the Brewers a fighting chance here. Just their body language and overall demeanor has been in the toilet throughout the year. Lorenzo Cain bowed out early in the season because of the coronavirus and to re-establish his faith.

That hurt the Brewers right away. No Cain in the lineup definitely hurts. That being said, the Brewers still should be better than a 23-26 team. They were expected to be more effective than what we’ve seen. In any event, the Brewers must forget about what’s happened already and focus on now.

The Brewers are coming off a split versus the St. Louis Cardinals in their last series. Tuesday was a big day for the Brew Crew, as they blasted the Cards by a score of 18-2. Jack Flaherty, who is typically reliable, was rocked for 8 hits and 9 earned runs through 3 innings.They followed up with a 4-2 loss, but responded in fine fashion with a 6-0 win on Wednesday.

Adrian Houser has been unable to get on track this season. He was expected to build off a quality season in 2019, but it’s been a struggle for Houser. Houser is running out of runway to get into a flow as well.

There’s only a week and change left in the regular season. A big time performance over the Royals would help the team out, though. Danny Duffy is expected to counter for the Royals. Head below for our free Kansas City Royals vs. Milwaukee Brewers pick for September 18, 2020.

Kansas City Royals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Royals +1.5 (-155)
  • Brewers -1.5 (+135)
Moneyline:

  • Royals (+134)
  • Brewers (-145)
Total:

  • Over 9 (-110)
  • Under 9 (-110)

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KC Royals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction:

Adrian Houser is a ground ball pitcher, and he got absolutely no help from his defense against the Cubs last week. He was on the opposite end of a no-hitter, as Alec Mills went 9 innings without conceding a hot. Houser, on the other hand, gave up 4 hits with 2 earned runs and 5 unarmed runs. Errors in the field led to the Cubs taking advantage for a 12-0 win. We can’t blame all of Houser’s issues this season on bad luck in the field, though.

Houser heads into Friday with an ERA of 5.40 and 1.50 WHIP. He boasts a 7.90 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in his previous three tilts. Nope, we certainly can’t blame the earned runs entirely on the Milwaukee defense. His control on the bump has been a recurring problem, especially at home at Miller Park where the 2020 campaign has been a mess for him. Houser has posted an ERA of 7.50, 1.94 WHIP, and .411 OBA in Milwaukee.

The Royals don’t have the biggest bats in the majors, but if Houser can’t get his command under control, then they should be able to put plenty of runners on base for scoring chances. Danny Duffy is fresh off a strong performance against the Cleveland Indians on the road with 4 hits and no earned runs allowed across 5.2 innings.

My issue with Duffy this season has been his consistency. Prior to that outing, Duffy was lit up for 7 hits and 6 earned runs versus the White Sox. Before getting on track against Cleveland, he gave up 9 earned runs in 11.2 innings of play. Duffy has conceded at least 4 earned runs in three out of nine outings in 2020. I don’t have much faith in Duffy following up that start with another gem on the road at Miller Park. Consider a selection on the OVER if you are in the market for a wager in this matchup on Friday night.

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The Bet
OVER 9
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.