Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees Pick – MLB July 28, 2022

The Kansas City Royals are at Yankee Stadium for a four-game series in the Bronx. The Royals are coming off two rough days against the Angels at Kauffman Stadium. They opened the series in impressive fashion with a 7-0 win, but stumbled in the second and third games.

The Royals were throttled by a score of 6-0 and 4-0. In their latest defeat, they fell victim to a hot performance from Janson Junk. Junk pitched well with 4 hits and no earned runs allowed across 5 innings of work. Brad Keller wasn’t at his worst, but the run support was non-existent.

The AL Central isn’t one of the best in the major leagues, though the Royals are off the pace by 13 games behind the Minnesota Twins. The Royals are at Yankee Stadium on Thursday with a record of 39-59.

In some divisions, a double-digit deficit is second-best. The AL East, AL West, and NL West all have their leaders clear by double digits. The fact that the Royals are last and 20 games under .500, but just 13 games away goes to show how bad the AL Central is in 2022.

The Royals are capable of looking good in spots, but turn cold too much.

Following a four-game losing streak, the Royals won four straight games and then responded with three losses against the Angels. That’s been their season. How do they react at Yankee Stadium after getting shut out for 18 innings?

The Yankees are coming off a sweep at Citi Field in the Subway Series versus the Mets. Max Scherzer dominated the Yankees in a 3-2 final last night. The Yankees erased a 2-0 deficit late, but Starling Marte came up big with a clutch walk-off single in the 9th.

Back home at Yankee Stadium, the Yankees will look for their first win since a 6-0 win against the Orioles four days ago. The Yankees won two of three games in that series. Despite the sweep versus the Mets, they are 66-33 and clear in the AL East with an 11.5-game lead over the Jays.

Head below for our free Royals vs. Yankees prediction on July 28, 2022.

Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Kansas City Royals +1.5 (-105) +185 Over 9 (+105)
New York Yankees -1.5 (-115) -225 Under 9 (-125)
Team Data Kansas City Royals New York Yankees
Overall Record 39-59 66-33
Away/Home Record 22-30 37-12
Batting Average .247 .246
Batting Average Away/Home .236 .235
Runs Per 9 3.96 5.31
Team ERA 4.71 3.17
Team ERA Away/Home 5.02 2.75

Royals vs. Yankees Prediction:

Brady Singer gives the Royals a decent enough shot of forcing the Yankees into a three-game losing streak. Singer is entering Yankee Stadium with some momentum in this one. He has allowed 2 earned runs in his previous 12 innings on the hill.

Singer is coming off a big performance vs the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Rays were fooled by Singer, as he held them to 3 hits and 1 earned run in a 6-3 win. This was a better look for Singer than in his latest start despite only allowing 1 run in that outing as well.

Singer conceded 7 hits and 5 walks through 6 innings. He somehow only gave up a run in a 5-2 win over the Tigers.

He’s been strong with an ERA of 3.06 in his last three attempts, but that includes a 1.53 WHIP and .384 OBA. Singer can’t put that many runners on base at Yankee Stadium. They’ll make him pay with the long ball.

The Yankees are first in OPS and home runs per game at 1.75.

They’ve done well against Singer in his career. This lineup is hitting .350 with a whopping .548 OBP and 7 RBIs in 38 at-bats.

Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 4-6
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games on the road
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games after a loss
  • 2-5 overall in their previous seven games versus a right-handed starter
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games at Yankee Stadium
  • 1-7 overall in their previous eight games versus the Yankees


  • Record (Last 10): 4-6
  • 7-2 overall in their previous nine games versus the AL Central
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games the Royals at home
  • 28-13 overall in their previous 41 games after a loss
  • 10-3 overall in their previous 13 games after scoring 2 or fewer runs
  • 41-14 overall in their previous 55 games at home

  • Jameson Taillon is looking to improve on a solid ERA of 3.93 and a 1.17 WHIP at Yankee Stadium tonight. Taillon has an ERA of 5.93 and a 1.24 WHIP in his previous three starts. That’s deceptive because he’s been good in his last two starts.

    After allowing 6 earned runs to the Red Sox, Taillon responded with 3 earned runs in his last 8.2 frames.

    The Royals are hitting .157 with a .209 OBP against Taillon in 24 at-bats. He’s had success before against this lineup and should have more on the hill at home.

    The Yankees have scored 5.31 runs per 9 frames for the best mark in the major leagues. At Yankee Stadium, they’re scoring 5.50 runs per 9 innings

    The Royals rate as one of the worst bullpens in baseball. They have a 4.52 ERA and 1.49 WHIP, with only three clubs worse in the major leagues. Conversely, the Yankees are second with a 2.94 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.

    After a frustrating couple of days in Queens, expect the Yankees to respond well at home. The Royals look like the perfect opponent for them to get their stroke back.


    Royals vs. Yankees Pick
    NY YANKEES -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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