Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees Pick – MLB July 30, 2022

The Kansas City Royals were feeling pretty confident in a rain delay last night. They had a 5-3 lead, but then the rain stopped and the Yankees proceeded to score 8 runs in the bottom of the 8th. What looked like a loss turned into a 6-run win in a hurry.

The Yankees feasted on the Royals’ bad bullpen, as they had no answer for the bats at Yankee Stadium. Aaron Judge had a monster performance. He went 3-for-5 with 6 RBIs. This after Judge walked the Royals off in the 9th on Thursday night.

The Yankees recorded just 2 hits in a 1-0 win in the series opener. One of those hits was a walk-off blast from Judge. The next night, the Yankees had 11 hits with 11 runs.

That’s what can make the Yankees so dangerous. They’re capable of winning low-scoring grind-it-out games, or an outing that relies heavily on their offense.

The Yankees own a record of 68-33 and a 12.5-game advantage in the AL East.

They are cruising at the moment, with the Blue Jays the closest team around at 55-45. The Yankees could lay off the gas pedal and likely still win the division comfortably.

This is a team that wants to go into October full speed ahead, though. It’s best advised that the Yankees don’t begin to plateau and settle.

Judge probably isn’t going to turn into a complacent player. He is playing for a huge contract and knows that his payday is coming. A long-term deal currently isn’t imminent between the Yankees and Judge.

Head below for our free Royals vs. Yankees prediction on July 30, 2022.

Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
KC Royals +1.5 (+135) +240 Over 8.5 (-115)
NY Yankees -1.5 (-160) -300 Under 8.5 (-105)
Team Data KC Royals NY Yankees
Overall Record 39-61 68-33
Away/Home Record 17-31 39-12
Batting Average .244 .243
Batting Average Away/Home .234 .234
Runs Per 9 3.90 5.43
Team ERA 4.68 3.16
Team ERA Away/Home 4.99 2.74

Royals vs. Yankees Prediction:

The Royals almost did everything right for most of the game last night. They still ended up receiving an 11-5 loss, though. That can happen against a team like the Yankees, especially at Yankees Stadium, where they are 39-12 on the season.

Nestor Cortes Jr. goes to the hill with an ERA of 2.48 and a 1.00 WHIP in 18 games.

He is rolling on the mound since allowing 4 earned runs to the Boston Red Sox on July 8. In his last two starts, Cortes Jr. conceded 1 earned run through 13 innings of work.

The bats have helped Nestor Jr. out nicely as of late. The Yankees have won four of his last five starts, with all wins by at least 2 runs.

He’s been on fire at Yankee Stadium with an ERA of 1.90 and a 0.89 WHIP this season. Nestor Jr. is fine on the road, but really shines when he’s in the Bronx.

Cortes needs to be better against the Royals, though.

The Royals have done well against Cortes, with a .353 batting average and 5 RBIs in 39 at-bats. That said, they haven’t seen Cortes when he’s been this sharp, though.

Before posting an ERA of 2.90 last season, Cortes struggled through his first four seasons. He was getting hit by everyone on the bump. Things are much different for him now.

KC Royals vs. NY Yankees Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 3-7
  • 1-6 overall in their previous seven games after a loss
  • 0-5 overall in their previous five games on the road
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games on a Saturday
  • 11-27 overall in their previous 38 games after scoring 5 or more runs
  • UNDER is 4-1 in their previous five games versus the AL East


  • Record (Last 10): 5-5
  • 7-2 overall in their previous nine games versus the AL Central
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games versus the Royals at home
  • 40-12 overall in their previous 52 games at home
  • 24-10 overall in their previous 34 games after conceding 5 or more runs
  • OVER is 5-1-1 in their previous seven games versus the Royals at home

  • Giancarlo Stanton may be out of the lineup, but the Yankees are still swinging the bats well. They exploded against a bad Royals bullpen last night.

    KC is one of the worst in the majors, with a bullpen ERA of 4.61 and a 1.51 WHIP.

    They need the bullpen in a game that has Jonathan Heasley starting. Zack Greinke was scratched from his performance, so Heasley gets the call.

    Heasley has a 5.50 ERA with a 1.51 WHIP this season. He’s posted a 10.64 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in his previous three outings.

    The second-year hurler doesn’t have the most experience and it’s been tough for him in 11 starts this season. In his latest attempt, the Guardians torched him for 6 hits and 5 earned runs in 1.1 innings for a 13-1 final.

    This start is unlikely to go well for him on Saturday afternoon. The ball should be flying off Heasley in this one. After the offense got going in the 8th last night, expect the offensive productivity to carry over against Heasley.


    Royals vs. Yankees Pick
    NY YANKEES -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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