LA Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick – September 15, 2020

Probable Starters:

    Tony Gonsolin (0-1, 1.57 ERA) vs. Zach Davies (7-2, 2.48 ERA)

There are two big timer series going on right now in Major League Baseball. The Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox are dancing at Guaranteed Rate Field, while the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres are at Petco Park on Tuesday night.

The Padres got the party started with a 7-2 win to beat Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers. Kershaw was rolling before getting tagged for 3 earned runs from the 6th to 7th inning. The Dodgers were hanging on to a 1-0 lead, and the Padres made them pay for not tacking on some insurance runs.

The Padres did all of the scoring late, as they kept it coming after Kershaw left the hill. Pedro Baez gave up a hit and run before getting pulled without recording an out. It wasn’t the Dodgers’ night, and the Padres are pulling right up near them in the National League West.

We’ve talked about how comfortable the Dodgers’ lead was just a couple of weeks ago, and we also noted how quickly things can change in the major leagues. Two weeks later and the Padres are only 1.5 games behind the Dodgers in the division.

They were able to get the Dodgers’ best starting pitcher out of the way last night in the first meeting and it resulted in a win. The Dodgers have gone just 3-5 in their last eight games. The Rockies beat them a couple of times, and then the Diamondbacks earned a win to avoid a three-game sweep. Then the Dodgers blew a 9th inning lead to lose to the Astros over the weekend.

I don’t know if the Dodgers are just bored and want the playoffs to begin already, but they have to start focusing again. They don’t want to go into the postseason feeling cold, and the Padres are lurking right behind them waiting to steal the NL West away from them. The Padres are budding with confidence right now.

Zach Davies who has been one of the best trade acquisitions in the league, when you take into consideration his production and cost, will get the starting nod at home tonight. Davies has been the most consistent hurler for the Padres in 2020. Dinelson Lamet has been good, as he was last night, but Davies has been the most consistent. Head below for our free LA Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres pick for September 15, 2020.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Dodgers OFF
  • Padres OFF
Moneyline:

  • Dodgers (-125)
  • Padres (+115)
Total:

  • Over 8.5 (-120)
  • Under 8.5 (+100)

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LA Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Prediction:

Zach Davies was always a reliable pitcher throughout his career. The Milwaukee Brewers knew what they were going to get from him when he hit the mound. Other than 2018, Davies finished with an ERA below the 4.00 mark in four out of five seasons.

After posting an ERA of 4.77 in 2018, Davies came back with a career-high ERA of 3.55 and 1.29 WHIP last season. The Padres saw something in him and decided to trade for Davies and Trent Grisham in November. Both have been contributing for the Padres and may play a pivotal role for them in the postseason.

Davies is cruising to a career-high this season after reaching a high last year. He enters Tuesday with an ERA of 2.48 and 0.96 WHIP through nine starts and 54.1 innings. His changeup has been deadly, and has been the driving force for batters hitting just .191 against him.

Davies has been at his best at Petco Park, where he owns an ERA of 2.29 and 0.81 WHIP in 19.2 innings of work. And while the Dodgers have a dangerous offense, Davies has been rock solid against them in his career. The Dodgers are hitting just .173 with 5 runs scored in 85 at-bats.

In his first meeting versus the Dodgers, Davies held them to 2 earned runs in 7 innings at Dodger Stadium. Tony Gonsolin made an appearance out of the bullpen in his most recent outing. That might have taken him out of his groove because he was not effective. Gonsolin conceded 6 hits and 3 earned runs in 5 innings on the bump versus the Diamondbacks in Arizona.

He’s been lights out at home with a 0.54 ERA, but that goes up to a 3.00 ERA on the road. I’d back the home dog and for the Padres to draw even closer to the Dodgers in the NL West tonight. The Padres are feeling really good right now, while the Dodgers seem to be counting down the days until the postseason.

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.