LA Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Pick – MLB August 4, 2020

    Dustin May (0-0, 2.35 ERA) vs. Dinelson Lamet (0-0, 1.80 ERA)

The Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres played a close one in their first meeting of this three-game series. The Dodgers took an early lead in the first, but the Padres came right back with a run to knot things up. A solo bomb by Cody Bellinger in the top of the 9th wasn’t enough for the Dodgers in the end.

They were down by 5-3 going into the final inning, with the Bellinger solo jack nothing more than a stats booster for him. It’s way too early to decide anything, but the Dodgers are far from a lock to win the NL West like I think people assumed. Especially in a shortened 60-game season, it’s more than possible that the Dodgers fail to live up to expectations.

It wouldn’t be the first time the Dodgers don’t do what was expected out of them. They might have added Mookie Betts to the equation, but throwing money at players often doesn’t work out as effectively as it would seem. That’s not to say that the Dodgers can’t win this season. They are built from the top down to be dominant. That goes for the pitching staff and lineup.

However, the Dodgers are in a competitive division that could be won by the Padres, Rockies, or Dodgers. I think people are sleeping on the Padres and Rockies, but they could be right there to pick up the pieces if the Dodgers don’t perform like they should be. I mean, the Dodgers have spent too much money to not have success, but that’s why they play the games.

The good news for the Dodgers is that Clayton Kershaw is back and healthy. Their rotation has a terrific 1-2-3 punch between Kershaw, Buehler, and Dustin May. Buehler could have been better last night, but he was fine enough for the Dodgers to win. May is expected to get his turn in the rotation on Tuesday night. The Padres will counter with hard throwing flamethrower Dinelson Lamet. Head below for our free LA Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres pick for August 4, 2020.

LA Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Baseball Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Dodgers -1.5 (+124)
  • Padres +1.5 (+125)
Moneyline:

  • Dodgers (-120)
  • Padres (+110)
Total Points:

  • Over 8.5 (-108)
  • Under 8.5 (-112)

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LA Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Prediction:

The plans for the Dodgers is to eventually develop Dustin May into their No. 1 pitcher. Once it’s time for Kershaw to retire, the rotation could be led by May who is only a 22-year-old at the moment. Despite being that young, May appeared in 14 games a season ago and handled it well even though he was pitching in the big leagues at just 21 years of age.

He deserves to be up in the majors. May posted an ERA of 3.63 and 1.10 WHIP in 14 games as a rookie. He’s looking to build on that and so far so good. May has started two games in 2020 and has been good with an ERA of 2.35, though he must cut back on putting runners on base. He has a 1.57 WHIP which is a bit too high for the Dodgers liking.

Control issues have been a problem for May’s counterpart on the Padres. He might throw in the upper 90’s, but he can struggle to hit his mark. Dinelson Lamet has been sharp with an ERA of 1.80 in 10 innings. However, he’s also walked 5 hitters and given up 6 hits for a 1.40 WHIP. Putting too many runners on base can turn into a mess really quickly against an offense of the Dodgers’ caliber.

What might be a solo home run against a better pitcher could easily be 3 runs against a pitcher with control issues like Lamet. In his first two seasons of major league work, Lament recorded an ERA of 4.57 and 4.07. He will likely improve on that, but keeping his ERA below 2.00 isn’t happening.

If he could stay away from Joc Pederson tonight that’d help him out nicely. Pederson has mauled Lament for 2 home runs in 4 at-bats. He’s 3-for-4 against Lament and has jumped all over his fastballs. Expect the Dodgers to respond tonight at Petco to force a rubber-match on Thursday.

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.