Well, sometimes you get nearly everything right about a game, and still, find a way to lose your bet. That happened to us last night when we backed the Chicago White Sox against the Milwaukee Brewers. I had backed the White Sox in the first two games of this series, both times as underdogs, and both times they fell behind early, only to rally late and cash our ticket.
The Brewers bullpen has been atrocious, blowing games on a regular basis, and I felt that as long as Adrian Houser was still on a short leash like the rest of the Brewers’ starting rotation, that the bullpen would give the game away again. The White Sox have displayed a refuse to lose attitude during this six-game winning streak, and I felt that they would find a way to get the job done again last night.
— Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) August 6, 2020
Unfortunately for us, the Brewers finally decided to take the handcuffs off of Adrian Houser, and he was lights out. Houser pitched seven shutout innings in the win. Milwaukee was able to shrink the game down and only had to use David Phelps and closer Josh Hader to finish out the game, the two relievers for the Brewers that have actually pitched well, and held on to their 1-0 win. What can you do, I still like the play, the variance just didn’t go our way. For today’s daily betting pick, we will head to Seattle, where the Mariners host the Angels.
Los Angeles Angels (4-8) at Seattle Mariners (5-8)
The Seattle Mariners are at home tonight, looking for the series win, in game three of a three-game set, with the Los Angeles Angels. The Angels took game one, 5-3, on Tuesday, and Seattle battled back to take game two last night, 7-6. The win snapped a four-game losing streak for the M’s.
For Los Angeles, the Angels have had a very disappointing start to the season, as their four wins are lower than every other American League team, with the exception of the Kansas City Royals and the Texas Rangers. The Halos came into 2020 with the hopes of competing for a World Series title after bringing in Anthony Rendon in the offseason, and things have not started out the way they had hoped, to say the least.
Starting tonight for the Mariners is Taijuan Walker (1-1 4.35 ERA), and for the Angels, it is Dylan Bundy (1-1 2.84 ERA). The Angels are -167 road favorites. The game total over/under is set at eight and a half runs. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 PM PST from T-Mobile Park in Seattle.
Los Angeles Angels
I’m not sure the start to the 2020 baseball season could have gone much worse than it has for the Angels so far this year. Shohei Ohtani couldn’t find the strike zone on the mound as he walked five guys in just over an inning of work and now has been shut down from pitching for the year. Which might be ok if he was hitting, but he’s not, as he is hitting just .148.
Anthony Rendon, the guy that they spent a quarter of a billion dollars on in the offseason, is hitting .148 with only one home run and four RBI. The rest of the core of their lineup is struggling as well, with Justin Upton (.125), Andrelton Simmons (.188) and Albert Pujols (.139) all hitting under .200. Mike Trout is smashing the baseball, but that is what Mike Trout always does.
Dylan Bundy (1-1 2.84 ERA)
When the Angels brought over former blue-chip prospect Dylan Bundy in the offseason, it was a buy low deal with upside. Bundy was once the number four overall pick in the MLB draft, but never lived up to the ample hype in his time with the Baltimore Orioles. The Angels are hoping that a change of scenery will get Bundy’s career back on track, and at still just27-year’s old, he has time to salvage a meaningful career.
The Bundy experiment has gotten off to a solid start as he has made two starts for Los Angeles, has pitched at least six innings in both starts, and has a 2.84 ERA and 15K’s. His last start came against this very same Seattle Mariners team, and he was charged with the loss as he gave up three earned runs in six innings on four hits and two walks.
The Mariners knew that 2020 was going to be a rebuilding year, and so they are quite happy with their start to the season, as they are currently just two games back of the wild card in the American League. I don’t see this team as having a playoff-caliber roster, but with all of these young guys all maturing at the same time, you never know what could happen.
One young guy that has certainly impressed so far this season is Kyle Lewis. Lewis has been one of the top prospects in the Mariners farm system for several years now, and after waiting seemingly forever to finally see him on the big league stage, he has really shown a lot of promise in a short period of time. Lewis is hitting a sizzling .385 with an on-base percentage of .439 and is near the top of the league leaders in RBI and runs scored. He has also shown off what could eventually be a Gold Glove in center field, as he has already had some highlight real home run robberies.
Taijuan Walker (1-1 4.35 ERA)
Taijuan Walker knows a little something about being the next big thing, as he was supposed to be a cornerstone of the Mariners rotation after being a first-round pick way back in 2010 for Seattle. Walker showed a lot of promise for Settle, but the Mariners decided to trade him away in the deal that brought Mitch Haniger and Jean Segura to Seattle.
Walker was strong in his debut season for the DBacks, but has spent the last two seasons battling injuries, and has made just four starts since 2017, before rejoining the Mariners in the offseason. After getting roughed up in his first start, Walker was stellar in his last outing against the Oakland Athletics. In that game, he pitched seven shutout innings, allowing just one hit. Walker has ace level stuff when he is on his game and the Mariners faithful love that he is back in Seattle.
Who Do I Like?
I backed the Mariners as home dogs yesterday, and they cashed a ticket for me. And I am going to back them as home dogs again tonight. I just don’t think that the Angels are good enough to be road favorites against anybody right now. Yeah, Dylan Bundy has looked decent in his two starts with LA, but he still lost against Seattle less than a week ago, and he still has a lifetime ERA of nearly five runs.
I expect Bundy to give up a couple of runs at least, and Walker will either be decent, or very good. The Angels aren’t hitting at all right now, and Walker could easily have a repeat performance of his last start, where he dominated for seven innings.
This bet is mostly a fade of the Angels. They just aren’t doing enough right now to warrant being big road favorites, and in the immortal words of Herm Edwards, you are what your record is. And right now, that means the Angels are one of the worst teams in the American League. These two teams have already played five games this season, and the Mariners have a winning record in the series, taking three of the five games.
Being able to back a Seattle team that has less talent, but more heart, in a game that I see as a straight up coin flip, as major underdogs, is a high-value proposition. Give me the Seattle Mariners tonight at home, getting +143!