We picked up a huge double winner last night when we took the Colorado Rockies as big home underdogs and also took the under ten runs game total. Kyle Freeland had been unhittable all season at Coors Field, as unlikely and challenging as that is, and hadn’t lost a game at home since June 10th. When I saw he was getting big dog money at home, it was just too much value to pass up on. I recognized that the Dodgers were starting one of their best arms as well in Walker Buehler, so I jumped under the inflated game total and took a chance at a jumbo payout.
The game went very much according to plan as Freeland was lights out once again and Buehler more than held his own. Freeland pitched six innings of one-run ball and allowed just four hits while striking out eight. The Rockies took an early 4-2 lead and the game just held right there the rest of the way out, and we won both of our bets. It was nice to get a high paying double win, and my trend of backing home underdogs paid off yet again. For today’s pick, I will stay right here in Colorado as I break down the game between the Dodgers and the Rockies.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are in Colorado Sunday for game three of a three-game series with the Rockies. The series is tied at one game apiece after the Dodgers took game one and the Rockies battled back to take game two last night. This series could not be bigger for both teams as just a game and a half separate them for first place in the National League West Division.
Starting today for the Rockies is Tyler Anderson (6-7 4.80 ERA), and for the Dodgers, it is Rich Hill (7-5 3.73 ERA). The Dodgers are -116 road favorites. The game total over-under is set at ten and a half runs. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10 PM PST from Coors Field in Colorado.
While the NFL will likely get the top billing today as Sunday marks the first full weekend of action, the division races in baseball are heating up and can’t be ignored. In what is the tightest division race in all of baseball, the National League West is a three-headed monster, with the Los Angeles Dodgers, Colorado Rockies, and Arizona Diamondbacks all with very legit chances to take home the division crown. The game we focus in on for today could not hold more weight as the Rockies look to hang on to their slight lead in the division.
Tyler Anderson was pretty good in the first half of the year for the Colorado Rockies but has fallen off a cliff recently. In August, Anderson was 0-4 with an 11.39 ERA in five starts. The Rockies had lost seven straight of his starts before they won his last start in a 9-8 slugfest. Anderson just seems to have lost what he had going for him early in the year when he was one of the better Rockies starters.
One team that he has seemed to pitch well against this season though is the Dodgers. In two starts against L.A. Anderson has pitched a combined fourteen innings and has allowed just one earned run. The Rockies are hoping that he can rekindle that fire tonight as they badly want to win this game and stay in first place.
Rich Hill did not look like Rich Hill in the first two months of the season. He was banged up and injured, and through May, he had an ERA of over six runs. Since then he has gotten his act together as in June, July, and August he has had an ERA of less than three runs. He has had one losing decision since July 10th. Hill has two starts against the Rockies this season and has pitched well. In two starts, Hill has allowed just three earned runs in twelve and a third innings of work.
I am going to do something I haven’t done all season long in this one, and that is back the Los Angeles Dodgers. And it’s not that I am a Dodgers hater, I think they are a talented team. It is just that they are always so overvalued that I can never touch them. But in this game, they appear to be way undervalued. Rich Hill’s season-long numbers are a bit shaky, but he has been more than serviceable after a slow start to the year and I feel he is the much better of the starting pitching matchup.
The fact that Tyler Anderson seems to own the Dodgers scares me a little bit, but he has really been struggling recently, and I think this retooled Dodgers lineup will be able to get to him today. I am tempted to go for the double dip yet again as the under ten and a half runs sure seems enticing, but I played with that fire last night and got away with it, and I don’t want to push my luck in this one.
So, I will just stick with the side bet and back the Los Angeles Dodgers. I think they are the better overall team, and I know we are getting the best of the starting pitching matchup. Give me the Los Angeles Dodgers as small road favorites today in the series finale from Colorado!