Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick – MLB July 30, 2021

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks set up at Chase Field for a three-game series this weekend. The Dodgers continue to sit in second place in the NL West behind the San Francisco Giants. They’re still favorites to win the division, but there is no value with that bet. Pundits have been calling for a Giants collapse and the Dodgers take the division over and pull away.

It hasn’t happened. In fact, the Dodgers are coming off two of three losses against the Giants at Oracle Park. There comes a point where you just have to tip your cap at the Giants and accept that this is a good team. If they win the NL West it isn’t some big upset. Now, looking at this from before the season started in March, this would look like a decent upset. But the Giants have more than proven they’re a good team since April. We’re going into August, so can stop pretending that the Dodgers are going to just stroll through for an easy win in the NL West.

That isn’t to say that the Dodgers are a bad team. They are fully capable of going back to the World Series and winning it all. And then you have the San Diego Padres, who are 60-45 on the season in third for a 5.5-game deficit behind the Giants. The Padres are in control of the final wildcard in the National League. The National League wildcard race is a really tough race. When a 60-45 Padres team has the final wildcard, it’s not going to be easy on the rest in the National League.

The Diamondbacks are dead last in the NL West with a record of 32-71. They went on an epic losing skid of 24 games to aid them in getting the first overall pick in the draft. The Baltimore Orioles are giving the Diamondbacks a good run for their money. The Orioles are at 35 wins, so the D-backs have the edge going into August. Former Marlin prospect, Zac Gallen, will look to get back on track against the Dodgers in the desert tonight. He’s coming off a wild performance versus the Cubs at Wrigley. Tony Gonsolin is expected to counter for the Dodgers. Head below for our free Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks pick on July 30, 2021.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Dodgers -1.5 (-116)
  • Diamondbacks +1.5 (-104)
Moneyline:

    Dodgers -180

  • Diamondbacks +166
Total:

  • Over 9 (-119)
  • Under 9 (-101)

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Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction:

Zac Gallen has generally been one of the more reliable pitchers for the Diamondbacks this season. However, he’ll really take a beating in spots after you think he’s going to roll. While he’s made some great starts this season, Gallen has an ERA of 4.80 and 1.40 WHIP in 52.1 innings. Those look like very pedestrian numbers. Gallen took a beating in his most recent attempt, as the Cubs ripped him for 6 hits and 7 earned runs in 4 innings.

This was after holding the Cubs to 3 hits and 1 earned run a week earlier. In his previous three starts, Gallen has posted an ERA of 8.49 and 1.89 WHIP. Gallen has been steadier at home than on the road, but nothing to get excited about with an ERA of 4.35 and 1.40 WHIP at Chase Field. He has yet to win a game in Arizona with a record of 0-3.

The offense was lifeless for two games against the Giants. They’re coming off a 5-0 loss, and opened that series with a 2-1 loss. I can see the Dodgers waking up and generating offense in the desert in this spot. After Gallen leaves the contest, the Dodgers have a chance to maul one of the worst bullpens in the majors.

The Arizona bullpen has an ERA of 5.27 and 1.53 WHIP, with only the Reds and Rockies worse than the D-backs. As a team, the Diamondbacks are 30th in the majors with 5.83 runs allowed per 9 innings and a batting average against of .271. Despite their problems recently, the Dodgers have scored 5.21 runs per 9 innings of work, which is good for third.

Tony Gonsolin has been getting more work recently after the training wheels were removed. The Dodgers were careful early in the season and weren’t allowing him to pitch more than 3 or 4 innings max. He’s coming off a brilliant performance through 5.1 innings versus the Rockies.

The Rockies notched just 2 hits and no runs. In his previous three starts, Gonsolin has a 2.84 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. He has been rock solid on the road as a visitor with an ERA of 1.98 and 1.32 WHIP. In 46 at-bats, the D-backs have been stymied for a .123 batting average and 2 RBIs. Following a lazy 5-0 loss against the Giants, expect the Dodgers to respond nicely against the Snakes in the desert.

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Our Bet
LA DODGERS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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