Yesterday was a great example of how tricky baseball betting can be sometimes, and why money management is so vitally important. My two picks both came down to tough calls or fluke plays in the final innings, and one went each way. I cashed in on the Washington Nationals when Nick Swisher miscommunicated on an easy foul pop and let the ball fall ‘innocently’ to the ground. Sure enough, two pitches later, Anthony Rendon hits his first big league homerun to push the Nats to a 7-6 win.
In Atlanta, my +187 underdog pick was thwarted when the home plate umpire failed to give Sergio Romo the call on a borderline 3-2 pitch with two outs in a 6-5 game in the bottom of the ninth. The tough call walked in the tying run, and a few minutes later a basehit into left field sent the Giants to a 7-6 defeat.
Sometimes, it truly is a game of inches. Which is why we constantly scout for favorable lines and better value wagers. Anyone can beat anyone on any given day (evidenced by the Marlins beating St. Louis Friday night), but with good money management, baseball can be a very profitable sport.
Let’s look for a favorable line and cash in a winner on Father’s Day.
Seattle Mariners +117 at Oakland A’s -125 (Total: 7)
Hisashi Iwakuma (7-1, 1.79 ERA) vs. Bartolo Colon (8-2, 2.92 ERA)
Neither age nor PED suspensions seem to have taken a toll on Bartolo Colon, who has bounced back to have one of his finer seasons so far in 2013. The veteran is a sparkling 8-2 with an ERA under three and has only given up one earned run in his last three starts, all wins, lasting 22 innings in the process.
He matches up against one of the better, albeit quieter, stories in Major League Baseball this season, with an ERA under two and only one loss blemishing his record. Since last year’s All Star break his 2.12 ERA is the lowest of any American League starting pitcher. Not bad for a guy most casual fans wouldn’t guess as the top pitcher in the AL if you gave them a dozen guesses.
This game has a low scoring affair written all over it. Neither offense is lights-out. The Mariners hit just .233 as a team and average barely three and a half runs per game. Oakland is more efficient in parlaying their low batting average into runs, but facing Iwakuma is no easy task.
I’ll take a nice 2-1, 3-2-type ballgame today in spacious Oakland.
Free Pick: Run TOTAL UNDER 7