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Mariners vs. Astros MLB Pick – July 18th

The Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros went to extras last night, giving way to a 9-7 win for the Mariners in the 10th inning. The Astros usually thrive off scoring 7 runs a night, but the pitching left a lot to be desired and the offense out to dry. McCullers had a rare off game, getting touched up for 5 runs in 4.2 innings of work.

The bullpen went on to allow another 4 runs to add to a 9-7 loss. The offense, as usual, was performing at a high level but the point was raised again that the Astros may want to find an additional arm at the trade deadline. No, McCullers isn’t a bad pitcher, he’s good in fact, but there is still a need for one more arm in the rotation. I believe they could still win a World Series without him, however an extra potent arm would be quite a treat on this team.

While the Astros are cruising this season, despite the loss last night, the Mariners are doing their best to stay in the postseason hunt. The Mariners may be in 2nd place in the American League West, but that equates to being 15.5 games behind the Astros for the lead. The Astros could take a nosedive for a couple of weeks and still be in control of the division. Note that the Mariners have now won five games in a row, yet are still that far back, which goes to show you.

What has to be worrying Astros’ fans, oddly enough, is how well they’ve been playing. The ‘Stros have been running laps around everyone else, but when is the time going to come that they hit a wall and regress some? All it’d take is one bad week in the postseason for everything to come crumbling down. It’s almost like they should get it out of the way. They’ve gone 2-2 since the All-Star Game, so it’s not like everything has been sunshine and rainbows for them this past week. Brad Peacock will start for the Astros, while Sam Gaviglio, a minor league lifer since 2011 will continue to get starts in at the major league level this year. Get our free Mariners vs. Astros pick below.

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Pick

Sam Gaviglio (3-4, 4.31 ERA) vs. Brad Peacock (7-1, 2.63 ERA)

Gaviglio assumes the fifth spot in the Mariners’ rotation, and barring the year going astray for him, he will be here to stay. He’s done relatively well with a 4.31 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Not spectacular, but good enough to make a living in the majors. There are signs he’s getting a little tired, though, after ten starts. In his last three outings, Gaviglio posted a 6.35 ERA, contrasted with a 2.12 ERA in the same amount of innings pitched.

Peacock was expected to get shifted back to the bullpen after the All-Star break, but here he is making it difficult on the Astros to send him back. He made a statement in his last start, giving up no runs and 5 hits across 6 innings of work. In four of his last five starts, he’s allowed 1 or less runs. In fact, in only two of his starts this season has he allowed more than 3 runs. The Astros are a team who are known to bounce back after taking a loss. Tonight, against Gaviglio, I like the Astros to bounce back and win this by more than a run.

PICK: ASTROS -1.5 (+100)

1 Comment on “Mariners vs. Astros MLB Pick – July 18th
  1. I’ve been a sports handicapper for more than 43 years. I get free picks emailed to me by several “experts” and track their performance. You, Kyle, are by far the best performer. I’d love to chat with you privately, if possible. You may contact me at your earliest convenience. Thank you and continue the good work.

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