Mariners vs. Astros MLB Pick – September 18th

It hasn’t been a great year for the Mariners, they’re going to be outside of the postseason and won’t be playing in October yet again. The Athletics smashed those dreams and the Rays have recently passed them as well. With a record of 83-67, the Mariners are 7 games behind the A’s. A lot of teams would be happy with that record, but the Mariners are in a position where it’s go to the postseason and do something or it is a lost season.

Paying Robinson Cano a sizable contract years ago has ended up being a miss for the Mariners. He was supposed to be the guy to put the team over the top in Seattle. Cano has had his moments, but people will remember him for his career with the Yankees, where he was a more consistent player.

The Mariners got past the Astros last night to provide a feel-good affair on Monday night. All they needed was one swing of the bat to put 4 runs up on the board. Daniel Vogelbach sent the home fans home with a sad face as a result of his grand slam. He’s made the most since getting called up to the big leagues in early September and nothing is going to top that.

If you put him next to Rowdy Tellez of the Blue Jays, another guy who recently made the leap to the major leagues and making an impact, you’d likely think they are brothers. Tellez is hitting an impressive .400 in 30 at-bats, while Vogelbach is hitting .222 with 4 long balls in 72 at-bats. While the Mariners may have won last night, the Astros are the team with a 4-game lead in the AL West. Meanwhile, the Mariners are 11 games back. Let’s allow the Mariners to have their night, though. The Astros will be giving a spot start to rookie Josh James. Gerrit Cole will be pushed back a day. The Mariners will look for a sharp outing from Mike Leake tonight. Head below for our free Mariners vs. Astros pick.

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Pick

Mike Leake (10-9, 3.99 ERA) vs. Josh James (0-0, 4.22 ERA)

Mike Leake goes into Tuesday night with a serviceable ERA of 3.99 and 1.28 WHIP. The last time he was in Houston, he came out of it with a 5-2 victory. He ran into some issues against the Athletics and Diamondbacks, allowing a total of 9 earned runs in 10.1 innings. The A’s got to him early and often, with 11 hits and 6 runs in 4.1 innings.

While Leake came out of Houston win a win last trip here, they’ve typically done well against him. The Astros are hitting .283 with a .323 OBP in 120 at-bats. Evan Gattis has hit 2 long balls in 13 showings against Leake. Marwin Gonzalez is hitting .545 and Alex Bregman .667 vs Leake in their careers. After napping yesterday, the ‘Stros likely come out firing tonight.

The Astros just have to bank on rookie Josh James keeping it together in his second ever start at the major league level. In his most recent appearance, Jones came out of the bullpen to allow 2 hits and 2 runs in 3 innings against the Tigers. In the first start of his career, James allowed 3 hits, 3 walks, and 3 runs in 5 innings to the Angels of Anaheim. He holds an ERA of 5.40 in 5 innings of work at Minute Maid. The Mariners’ offense has been performing well with 5.2 runs per game, while hitting .277 in their last five games. I don’t know if they can do well enough to out score the ‘Stros, but they should contribute to a game that goes OVER the total.

The Bet: OVER 8.5 (-105)

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.