Mariners vs. Astros MLB Pick – September 5th

The Houston Astros welcome the Seattle Mariners for a four-game series at Minute Maid Park. This should be a record padding series for the Astros, but if they fail to take them seriously, upsets are definitely a possibility. The Mariners are just looking to get out of this season without giving up and embarrassing themselves in September.

They must try to finish off the season strong and get some early motivation for 2020. Seattle are going to need more than some early momentum and motivation for next season, though. Mariners’ fans aren’t going to be fooled by false hope next year.

The front office has tried a few different things in the past five years to get a competitive baseball in Seattle and haven’t struck gold. Robinson Cano figured to at least get the Mariners into the Wild Card Game, but his time in Seattle was a bust.

That left the Mariners with more questions than answers. They held off from making a splash by acquiring notable talent, and when they finally did so, it didn’t work out for the Mariners. Felix Hernandez is sadly nearing the end of his contract in Seattle and his future is influx. If there is anyone who deserved a postseason run with the Mariners it’s him.

Seattle’s season is winding down, but the real season hasn’t even arrived yet for the Astros. After months of success and dominance in the AL West, the Astros will soon be focusing on the postseason. Everyone starts at 0 in the postseason, which is when the real season begins.

They’re currently contending with the Yankees for homefield in the American League. The Yankees are up by a couple of wins going into Thursday. Houston head into this series with the Mariners at 90-50. Wade Miley will get the call to try and get the ‘Stros to 91-50 this evening in Houston. The Mariners are expected to go with Marco Gonzales as their starting hurler tonight. Head below for our free Mariners vs. Astros pick.

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Astros -275/Mariners +225
  • O/U: 9.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Marco Gonzales (14-11, 4.30 ERA)
  • Wade Miley (13-4, 3.06 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Wade Miley was one of the best under the radar signing this past offseason. Considering the impact that he’s had on the Astros, you could argue that he has been THE best under the radar signing. Miley has been the replacement for Charlie Morton, who signed a bigger contract with the Rays in the offseason.

Morton has been good too, but the Astros are getting value with Miley at a cheaper price. They would have had to pay Morton more to retain his services. Miley has been outpacing his salary, as he has posted a 3.06 ERA and 1.22 WHIP heading into Thursday night at Minute Maid.

Minute Maid Park has been especially friendly to Miley, where he’s boasted a 2.22 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 73 innings of play. Miley has yet to allow more than 3 runs in a performance at home thus far. It’s likely not going to happen against the Mariners in this one. Seattle are hitting .234 against Miley in 141 at-bats. If he does happen to have an off night, which hasn’t happened thus far at home in 2019, the offense is likely going to t-off on Marco Gonzales.

Gonzales has been unable to provide much resistance against the ‘Stros in his career. Houston have battered him for a .354 batting average and .413 OBP in 99 at-bats. They’ve scored 14 runs on Gonzales during that time at the dish. They’ve been sharp against lefties with a .278 average and it should continue tonight against him. There’s a good chance either Miley or the offense have a big game tonight. Certainly, it could be both as well. With that in mind, the Astros are in a good spot to win comfortably in Houston here.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.