Mariners vs. Rangers Pick MLB – April 16th

We took a day off from MLB picks yesterday, and it seems like our timing couldn’t have been better.  Weather wreaked havoc on the baseball schedule with four games cancelled throughout the Northeast, making for an unexpectedly light day.  The odds are my pick would have been a no-action, but we will try to snap a two-day MLB slide with a pair of winners on a wacky Wednesday with games starting from 12:35 until the evening, random make-up double-headers, etc.

Make sure to check the start time on any games you like today.

Let’s get back on track with some Wednesday winners…

Today’s Free Picks:

Colorado Rockies +133 at San Diego Padres -141 (Total: 7.5)

Jorge De La Rosa (0-2, 9.69 ERA) vs. Andrew Cashner (1-1, 1.29 ERA)

Tonight’s game features the most prolific offense in the National League starting a pitcher with an ERA sniffing 10… yet the Vegas run total is set at 6.5.  What does that tell you?

It tells me that Vegas knows Andrew Cashner is REALLY GOOD.  The Padres offense has been pretty lousy this season, averaging just 2.86 runs per game.  They’ve also fared pretty poorly against lefties, batting .168 as a team, but it is a very small sample size, so I’m not quite as concerned about that number as I’d normally be.

The Rockies put up runs, but they’ve been handled relatively well by the Padres when the game is at Petco Park.  In their last five games in San Diego the Rockies have mustered just 13 runs (2.6 per game) and scored more than three runs only once.

I like Cashner on the hill tonight at home in pitcher-friendly Petco.  I’d expect De La Rosa to pitch a little better too against the light-hitting Pads, but not quite well enough to get the win.

Free Pick:  San Diego Padres to WIN -141

Seattle Mariners +105 at Texas Rangers -115 (Total: 6.5)

Felix Hernandez (3-0, 2.11 ERA) vs. Yu Darvish (1-0, 0.00)

This is easily the game of the day, and a must-see for any baseball fans who love good pitching in an electric environment.  King Felix is on the hill in Texas facing off against Yu Darvish, who has been the most dominant pitcher in baseball so far in 2014.  But the bigger question, will the matchup deliver on the hype??

Well, based on past performances, don’t expect King Felix to mow through this lineup tonight.  While his early season has been perfect, winning all three starts and posting a 2.11 ERA in the process, he is 0-4 with a 7.57 ERA in his last five starts against the Rangers.  The Rangers offense hasn’t displayed their traditional punch yet this season, averaging a decent but not impressive 3.68 runs per game.  The scary thing is they are allowing 4.34 runs per game.  The scarier thing?  Darvish hasn’t allowed a SINGLE RUN this season.  That means the bullpen and remainder of the rotation is really struggling.

Fortunately for Texas, I don’t think they’ll need the pen tonight.  Give me Darvish to continue his brilliance tonight at home.

Free Pick:  Texas Rangers to WIN -115

Chris Scheeren / Author