Mariners vs. Royals MLB Pick – April 11th

The Seattle Mariners and Kansas City Royals will do it all over again today after they took turns blasting each other the last two days. The Royals took a 10-0 win over the Mariners on Monday, and then the results were flipped yesterday, with the Mariners coming out on top by a score of 8-3. It’s pretty well how the year has gone for both the Mariners and Royals. Giveth and then taketh away. The Mariners enter with a record of 5-4, while the Royals are at 3-6.

It’s early, but the Royals do not expect to compete in the AL Central this season. The division is there for the taking, but the Royals still, probably, won’t have enough in the tank. They blew their load when they won that World Series and have to go back into rebuild mode. In particular, their pitching was first-class, and once it got to the bullpen it was tough to overtake them. The Indians used the same formula, but they ended up coming just a bit short.

The Mariners must finally jump the hurdle and get into the postseason this season. This team has been clamoring for it since they announced the signing of Robinson Cano. They were a team with decent pitching for so many years, but no offense to compliment it. Now they’ve added some bats, and what should have been a postseason trip, turned into a letdown because of injuries to the pitching staff. Felix Hernandez has yet to get to the postseason and the clock is ticking down. James Paxton was fantastic in his breakout campaign a year ago. They can’t afford a s

Seattle Mariners vs. K.C. Royals Pick

James Paxton (0-1, 7.45 ERA) vs. Danny Duffy (0-1, 7.45 ERA)

Paxton was among one of the few pitchers who went down with injury last season. There wasn’t much the Mariners could do when the injury virus travelled to Paxton. They were already down a couple members of the rotation. It hasn’t been the best start for him, and the Mariners are hoping it’s just a slow start, not due to his arm flaring up. He’s appeared in two games and has posted an ERA of 7.45 with a 1.55 WHIP. The majority of the damage was done in his opening start against the Indians, where he allowed 6 runs in 4.2 innings pitched. He came back to pitch well against the Twins, as he gave up 2 earned runs in 5 innings pitched. The last time he was in Kansas City, he led the Mariners to a 5-2 win.

If the numbers for Paxton and Danny Duffy look like a typo, they’re not. Paxton and Duffy have produced identical stats through their first two outings of the year. They arrived at those numbers in similar fashion as well. Duffy allowed 5 runs and 7 hits in 4 innings against the White Sox. He came back and gave up 3 runs across 5.2 innings of work against the Indians. So, both showed signs of improvement after abysmal starts to open the year.

Duffy gave up 3 long balls in the first outing. Paxton has given up 3 in total, 2 in the first and 1 in the second. The OVER has gone 4-0 in their last four meetings, with an average of over 10 runs scored per game. It’s also gone 8-2 to the OVER. I think Paxton is going to settle in and be fine this season. Duffy is a bit of a wild card, but he is facing a Mariners’ offense today who is hitting lefties well, at a clip of .313. In any case, the wind should play a major factor for Paxton and Duffy today. Forecasts are predicting sustained winds of 20mph out to left field. If the ball gets up it should fly. The OVER looks like a quality option on the diamond Wednesday.

The Bet: OVER 8.5 (-110)

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