Note that this is a pick from the same series as our pick from yesterday, the Mariners vs. Tigers in Detroit. We successfully cashed that one with ease, as we had the OVER in a 19-9 ball game.
Those are the kind of games you wish you could save some of the runs and keep them for a future OVER wager. In any event, no sweat winners are the best picks you can find. Hopefully it’ll go that way for us tonight again in the Motor City.
The onslaught from the Tigers was relentless, as they put up 19 on the board, including 9 runs in the 5th inning. 9 runs was the most they’ve scored in an inning since 2008 against the Texas Rangers.
Felix Hernandez got off to a rough start, and has been relatively up and down in 2017 thus far. As I noted, we’ve witnessed some regression from him, as he isn’t getting any younger at this point. It’s something to keep an eye on as the season progresses.
A guy who I believe may be the next big thing to come out of Seattle, James Paxton settles in on the mound tonight at Comerica, as he puts his flawless start to the season on the line. The Mariners have a habit of churning out pitchers from out of nowhere, and Paxton hopes to add his name to that list.
From the work I’ve seen from him, we have no reason to believe he won’t, but let’s wait for a larger sample size before we can confidently say he’s the real deal. Paxton will face Daniel Norris of the Tigers, a guy they’re hoping they can get more out of as the season goes forward. Get our Mariners vs. Tigers pick below for our free MLB betting pick on Wednesday.
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Pick
James Paxton (2-0, 1.78 ERA) vs. Daniel Norris (1-1, 3.71 ERA)
Paxton has been waiting to get his chance to start full-time in the rotation, and he’s been making the most of it. By all regards, he isn’t going anywhere soon. The lefty has toiled in the starting rotation over the last three seasons, but hasn’t gone the distance yet.
The Mariners have done a solid job not ruining his arm, limiting the amount of work he’s gotten since hitting the majors in 2013. His ERA has never gone above 4.00. Paxton posted a 3.79 ERA in 20 starts last season.
It appears he’s ready to have a breakout campaign, but let’s not get ahead of ourselves just yet. It’s only April and a lot can change. Nevertheless, Paxton went his first three starts of the year without allowing a run, as well as only 2.6 hits per game. The Oakland A’s finally rattled him in his last start, as he allowed 5 runs in 4.1 innings. In total, he possesses an ERA of 1.78, with a 0.87 WHIP.
Daniel Norris holds a 3.71 ERA entering tonight, which is a serviceable number. However, it’s appeared to me that he’s on the edge of getting steamrolled. His 1.53 WHIP has to be concerning to the Tigers. In spring training, it was high as well, with a 1.67 WHIP. After scoring 19 runs a night ago, I expect Paxton to settle this Detroit offense down. The Mariners should be able to find a win behind his arm, providing them with a much needed win on the road.
PICK: MARINERS (-135)