We notched a nice plus-money winner last night with the Phillies scoring twice in the eighth and then twice more in the tenth to take down the struggling Giants and help us notch a third straight winner and a second healthy plus-money wager.
Let’s keep on keeping on and make it a big weekend. It’s a packed Saturday of sports action; a full MLB slate of games, the kickoff of the EPL season across the pond, and even a few NFL preseason games for good measure (and true hardcore football fans).
Let’s turn two today and cover my two favorite plays on the board.
Today’s Free Picks:
Seattle Mariners -112 at Detroit Tigers +102 (Total: 6.5)
Felix Hernandez (13-3, 1.95 ERA) vs. David Price (11-8, 3.21 ERA)
It doesn’t get much better than King Felix vs. David Price in a late-August game with wildcard implications. It’ll be great to watch, but let’s make it even better by getting on the right side.
It’s hard to describe just how good Felix has been lately. He is on a streak of 16 straight games going seven or more runs allowing two or less runs. He has a WHIP of 0.61 in his last three starts, even better than the 0.74 WHIP and 1.48 ERA during the 16 game streak. That’s ridiculously dominant, Cy Young winning, stuff. I don’t see any reason to think the streak will stop today. The M’s have won 9 of 10 to take a half game lead in the Wildcard race for the first time since June.
Meanwhile, Price acquisition was supposed to seal a spot in the ALCS. However, with the play of Kansas City and Seattle, maybe Detroit fans should worry about a playoff spot. They’ve lost 7 of 10, and things are definitely going to be a challenge offensively tonight.
David Price excepted, you still have to LOVE King Felix at near even money.
Arizona Diamondbacks +135 vs. Miami Marlins -143 (Total: 7)
Wade Miley (7-8, 4.61 ERA) vs. Henderson Alvarez (8-5, 2.48 ERA)
The Marlins have every edge on paper, but I am concerned a bit about the shoulder inflammation Henderson Alvarez developed back on July 29th. The young All-Star has done an admirable job of filling in the ace roll for Jose Fernandez, but he has already thrown 10+ more innings that his previous minor-league career high, and according to the team’s website say’s the “happy to be back, but admits he is not 100%”
Huh? If it were me, he wouldn’t make a start until he IS 100%, even if that means next year. The Playoffs are still a pretty remote possibility for the Fish, and with a stable of young low-cost talent that includes the best young pitching staff in baseball when healthy, I’d error on the side of caution.
Couple the lack of perfect health with the fact that Wade Miley is 2-1 with a 0.89 ERA in three career starts against Miami and they have all the makings of a nice underdog value play.