Mariners vs. Yankees Pick MLB – April 29th

We dropped the Cardinals vs. Brewers game last night as two runs in the 12th inning pushed the total OVER. Meanwhile, the Reds and Cubs were rained out making the second pick no-action. The end result is a losing night. Let’s try to bounce back with a pair of winners tonight.

Meanwhile, another big injury hit MLB with the news that Bryce Harper will be out until July. It’ll be interesting to see how the Nationals cope with the injury. The Atlanta Braves are already 3 ½ games in front thanks to a scorching 17-7 start. It’s likely they’ll cool off slightly, but if the Nats can’t play much better than .500 ball without Harper, the division could once again be too far out of reach. They have a nice opportunity to get off to a good start with a three-game set against the Astros.

Let’s see if we can bounce back tonight and see if we can put an underdog winner on the board.

Tonight’s Free Picks:

Seattle Mariners +175 at New York Yankees -185 (Total: 8)

Chris Young vs. C.C. Sabathia

The storyline will focus around Robinson Cano’s return to the Bronx, but the more important story is the performance of C.C. Sabathia. If he can rebound to 2010 form, the Yankees could very well run away with the AL East. Their offense is cruising and they are getting good pitching from the bullpen and the rest of the rotation.

CC is 2-1 with a 3.15 ERA over his last three starts, which is an encouraging improvement. Meanwhile the offense is averaging over four and a quarter runs. However, perhaps it is a small-sample anomaly, but to this point, they are faring substantially better against left handed pitching. They are hitting .294 against southpaws compared to just .236 against righties.

Chris Young has thrown only 18 innings over the past four outings, but they have been decent innings. The Mariners would likely to prefer to get at least six out of him tonight to not tax the bullpen early in the series, but it’s not been the norm in 2014.

Tonight’s pick is predicated on three things: The relative value of the Mariners at huge plus-money, the Yankees struggles against right-handed pitching, and a lingering suspicion about C.C. Sabathia. At plus 175, it’s a good value play. I’ll take the M’s to get a few runs off of C.C. early and then cobble together enough bullpen innings to make Robbie Cano’s return a pleasant one.

Free Pick: Seattle Mariners to WIN +175

Chris Scheeren / Author