Marlins vs. Cubs MLB Pick – May 9th

The Miami Marlins will meet again on Thursday at Wrigley with the Cubs looking to secure a win and stay competitive in the NL Central. It is just that, a competitive division that is likely going to go down to the wire in September. The NL Central and NL East both have a few teams who can win their respective division. For the Cubs, they’re looking to get back to the top after their World Series win in 2016. A lot of the same young talent is still there from that team, but they’ve lost some talent along the way as well.

The Brewers are a much better team from then, too. The Cardinals and Cubs have World Series championships in from recent years and the Brewers may be next behind Christian Yelich’s monster swing.
Sorry Marlins’ fans, Yelich is not a Marlin as management essentially traded away one of the best players in the majors. Sending Stanton out of town to save a few bucks made sense, but the Yelich deal looks to be a huge cut and a miss.

Do we really think that the Marlins are going to find a prospect in the guys that they obtained who are going to be good as Yelich? I think not. A lot is going to change in the NL East at the top, but one constant will be the Marlins at the bottom from the beginning to the end.

Trevor Richards was seeking a breakout campaign but that hasn’t been the case. That said, Richards is coming off a standout performance against the Braves. We’ll see if he can keep it going, but consistency has a been a major problem for him. Speaking of consistency, Yu Darvish has seen no consistency which is a problem for the Cubs. It’s imperative that Darvish is in fine form for the Cubs to succeed. Head below for our free Marlins vs. Cubs pick.

Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Cubs -200/Marlins +170
  • O/U: N/A

Pitching Matchup:

  • Yu Darvish (2-3, 5.79 ERA)
  • Trevor Richards (0-4, 4.10 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Trevor Richards is still looking for the first win of the season. All his fault? No, not entirely because pitching on an awful offense like the Marlins have is a recipe for not many wins. Jacob deGrom can tell you a story about that situation. He was the best pitcher in baseball yet still struggled to get wins. It’s not close to the same situation, though.

Richards isn’t in the same stratosphere as deGrom but he did have a deGrom like performance against the Braves. He gave up just 1 run across 4.2 innings of work. That’s not usual for Richards, though, who enters this contest with an ERA of 4.10. But he has a record of 0-4 despite pitching that gem against the Braves. That hurts for any pitcher, but it is expected with this offense he must deal with.

Note that the Marlins are dead last in the majors with less than 3 runs scored per game. They’re the only team In Major League Baseball without at least 3 runs scored per game. That means a lot of losses for pitchers and a lot overall for the team. The Marlins are last in the majors as well with respects to their record.

This might be a good spot for Darvish to finally put together a strong outing. It has been a tough season thus far, as he enters Thursday with an ERA of 5.79. It is going to be worrisome if Yu can’t get through innings quickly against the Marlins. The Cubs will be in the market for a quality arm if it continues. I think the offense will help him out Thursday, though. Richards is coming off a career game and I see him regressing here at Wrigley. Look for a 6-3 or 5-2 win for the Cubs in this spot.

The Bet
CUBS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.