Marlins vs. Diamondbacks MLB Pick – September 16th

There is a lot of important action going on around the major leagues this week. If you are looking for that in the desert, I’d look away because it’s certainly not in Arizona. The Miami Marlins trade in the beach for the desert for a three-game series against the Diamondbacks.

The Diamondbacks don’t have to move anywhere, as they will be home at Chase Field for another series. They were losers in two out of three games against the Reds most recently. The series was dominated by solid pitching. Both offenses were held in check throughout the weekend.

On the other side, the Marlins lost two out of three games against the Giants in San Francisco. They did win one game, which was good to snap a five-game losing streak. Miami quickly got back to their losing ways with a 2-1 loss Sunday, though.

The pitching was strong in that one as well, with 4 runs scored by the Marlins on Saturday being the most runs scored. Miami managed to record just 5 runs the entire weekend. That pretty well represents how the season has gone for the Marlins this season. We’re nearing the end of the year and it’s still the same predictable things killing the Marlins on the diamond.

We should expect to see some forward progress from the Marlins next season, but it can’t really get much worse than what we saw this season in 2019. That said, they are going to avoid last place, which is most likely going to belong to the Tigers. Finishing dead last in this case would have been better to get the first overall pick in the draft, though.

Pablo Lopez is scheduled to get the start against Robbie Ray in this one. Ray has not been pitching great and has since been overtaken over by Zac Gallen and Merrill Kelly in the rotation. Ray will look to get it back tonight against the Marlins. Head below for our free Marlins vs. Diamondbacks pick.

Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Diamondbacks -220/Marlins +190
  • O/U: 9

Pitching Matchup:

  • Pablo Lopez (5-8, 4.97 ERA)
  • Robbie Ray (12-8, 4.30 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

With Zack Greinke getting traded, Robbie Ray got a sort of promotion with a bump up on the depth chart of the starting rotation. However, the Diamondbacks traded for Zac Gallen, who has been beating all expectations this early in his career and has been their best-looking pitcher. Along with Kelly pitching well, Ray has been the forgotten guy recently. Ray has been struggling considerably to get outs lately.

He enters with an ERA of 10.80 and 2.20 WHIP in his last three outings. That was against some much better offenses than the Marlins, though. He was tagged for 4, 3, and 5 earned runs against the Dodgers, Reds, and Mets. This could be a start to get his confidence back.

The Marlins are hitting only .207 against Ray in 92 at-bats. Their offense has gotten slightly better since the beginning of the year, but they are still tied for last with 3.72 runs scored per game. I like Ray to get back into form against the Marlins tonight.

Pablo Lopez has nothing to say either. He has gotten rattled for an 8.16 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in his last three outings. While Lopez has been better than good at home in Miami, his season takes a much different turn as a visitor. He has posted an ERA of 7.71 with a 1.50 WHIP and .359 OBA on the road in 2019.

The long ball has been an issue, with 10 home runs yielded on the road as opposed to just 4 in Miami. I don’t expect Ray to be perfect here, but he should have a decent night at the office in this contest. Against Lopez, the Diamondbacks’ offense likely generate some nice run support for him. They were lifeless this weekend, but look for them to spring back to life on Monday night. I can see a 3-run win for the Diamondbacks to cover the runline at Chase Field.

The Bet
DIAMONDBACKS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.